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2008 VP Power Rankings: August 19th - FINAL EDITION!

Posted on August 19th, 2008 at 10:26 am by PD Administrator

With both candidates on the verge of making their VP choices public, it comes time for the final edition of the PD VP PR. For those of you slow on the uptake, that’s the Political Derby Vice Presidential Power Rankings.

The braintrust at PD, an oxymoron if ever there was one, decided a group ranking was appropriate for the final veep rankings. After all, why should Jason be the only one who’s wrong?

All contributors ranked their choices and points were awarded similarly to the Heisman Trophy format. 3 for a first place vote, 2 for a second, 1 for a third.

Here’s how it shook out:

Republicans

1. Mitt Romney (13 points)
2. Tim Pawlenty (11 points)
3. Tom Ridge (6 points)
t4. Charlie Crist (3 points)
t4. Mark Sanford (3 points)

Democrats

t1. Evan Bayh (11 points)
t1. Joe Biden(11 points)
2. Tim Kaine (10 points)
3. Chuck Hagel (2 points)
t4. Jack Reed (1 point)
t4. Kathleen Sebelius (1 point)

 
 

2008 VP Power Rankings: July 2nd

Posted on July 1st, 2008 at 10:57 pm by PD Administrator

Just a mini-update, because the VP Power Rankings change about as often as Ryan Seacrest whitens his teeth.

Republicans

1. Mark Sanford - He’s a conservative darling, and fits the profile well, if McCain cares to appease the grassroots. The question becomes, does Mac Daddy really care about the conservative base?

2. Mitt Romney - Wealthy, polished, wealthy, already has some national name ID, wealthy, tireless, wealthy, and negates questions about McCain’s weakness on economics issues. Oh, and did we mention he’s wealthy?

3. Bobby Jindal - He’s a complete long shot, but we’ve not seen a long shot get this much buzz since Geraldine Ferrarro in ‘84.

The GOP Darkhorse

Sarah Palin - Great back story, very charming and likable, and serves smack dab in the middle of a drilling-where-the-greens-don’t-want-to-drill state. That state happens to be Alaska. She’s got a bit of a “hottie” buzz about her, but like we said, she’s from Alaska.

Democrats

1. Evan Bayh - He’s the poster boy for Moderate Democrats, plus he’s vetted and experienced. If Obama wants to add very popular, moderate balance, this IS the best pick. By the way, he’s moderate.

2. Evan Bayh - He’s such a good pick, we think he occupies spots #1 and #2.

3. Sam Nunn - He’s also moderate, and very experienced, and also fits the ‘insider’ model that is common with Veep picks. He’s also been out of politics for 10 years, and does the ‘change’ candidate want an old-school Beltway insider? He may need one, and Nunn is just as good as any of them.

The Dem Darkhorse

Al Gore - He’s never been more respected around the world, his pet issue has never been more important, and it would be the ultimate sacrifice for country and would cement a rare place in history. Here’s one for you - who are the only two men to serve as Vice President under two different Presidents?

 
 

2008 VP Power Rankings: June 19th

Posted on June 19th, 2008 at 9:25 pm by PD Administrator

Welcome to the first edition of PoliticalDerby.com’s 2008 VP Power
Rankings, the original tracking service in the current race for the White House. After ranking the horses seeking the top spot since 2005, we now turn our attention to the bottom of the ticket.

Take note that ranking VP Horses is a much more difficult, fluid, and
subjective task than ranking the presidential candidates. Without polls or primary results to gauge track position it comes down to rumors, tips, and flipping coins.

So let the fun begin!

 

The DEM VP Horse Tip Sheet
Rankings
last updated: June 19, 2008


Power
Ranking
The
Horse
Mug Shot Momentum The
Tip Sheet
1 Evan Bayh Bayh Even Bayh has had his eye on this spot
since being the first to withdraw from the big race. He’s popular, he’s
smart, and he’s moderate. Most importantly, he’s got the one trait
Obama might want to balance his historic ticket: He’s whiter
than Donny Osmond.
2 Bill Richardson Richardson Even Richardson has been running for #2 since
his days as a professional baseball player. Bill might be viewed as a
bold and risky pick, but a bazillion-and-one-times safer than Hillary. Still, wouldn’t Obama win the Hispanic vote without him?
3 Joe Biden Biden Even Like Richardson, Biden would bring experience and gravitas to the ticket. But he’s also the consummate Senator: A long-winded, full-of-himself politico who needs 500 words to say what real people could say in 50.
4 Hillary Clinton Clinton Down Hillary’s best chance at being named Veep was
withdrawing with dignity from the race a long time ago. Also, you can’t
dismiss the idea that picking Hillary would mean every parent with a
daughter in a DC-based internship would have to file a preemptive
restraining order against former President Crotch.
5 Jim Webb Webb Down Oh come on, who hasn’t used the phrase “Nazification
of the Confederacy”? The only reason Webb is even on this list is that
he has a military background and hails from VA. The reason he’s falling fast as Obama’s potential Veep is his newly-discovered soft spot for the confederacy.

 

Others receiving votes: Tim Kaine, Al Gore, Claire McCaskill, Michael Bloomberg

 
 
The GOP VP Horse Tip Sheet
Rankings
last updated: June 19, 2008


Power
Ranking
The
Horse
  Momentum The Tip Sheet
1 Mark Sanford Sanford Even South Carolina’s governor has enemies on the
right and the left, but that’s only among
stick-in-the-mud party leaders,
the conservative grassroots troops love him. Would Sanford want to take
a shot now or bank on being a top-tier front-runner for the top spot in
2012 or 2016?
2 Charlie Crist Crist Even Crist is popular in Florida, the
state that could once again determine who rents the big U-Hall and
moves to 1600 Penn Ave. He has chemistry with McCain, something that’s
not easy to do. Would conservatives embrace him? Or does McCain assume
they’ll come home to the ticket regardless of who’s on the second line?
3 Mitt Romney Romney Even Romney seems to have everything going for
him, except the little bitty fact
that McCain doesn’t like him and by all accounts Mitt isn’t J-Mac’s
biggest fan either. But Romney has more econ street cred than any other
horse on either side, and McCain seems dreadfully out of touch on
economic issues.
4 Mike Huckabee Huckabee Even Huckabee has done everything but get on both knees and
beg for the #2 spot. Sure he’d make social conservatives giddy,
but his tendency to wear his religion on his sleeve could be a
negative. Still, only Obama is smoother on the trail or debate stage.
5 Bobby Jindal Jindal Even Jindal is a hot name at the betting window, but his
age could be a major factor. He’s only 37-years old. For the
mathematically challenged, that makes him 34-years younger than McCain.
The campaign trail for president is no place to start a Big Brother
outreach program.

Others receiving votes: Tim Pawlenty, Jim DeMint, John Thune, Tom Coburn
 
 
The rankings
may not be reprinted or quoted in any form without attribution to
PoliticalDerby.com.

 
 

2008 Power Rankings: May 15th

Posted on May 15th, 2008 at 2:04 pm by David Kaiser, Editor

Welcome to the latest edition of PoliticalDerby.com’s 2008 Power Rankings, the original tracking service in the current race for the White House. The rankings are updated as circumstances warrant and are compiled by our Editor and contributors using wire reports, polls, campaign staffer scuttlebutt and confidential tips.


The GOP Horse Tip Sheet
Rankings last updated: May 15, 2008
Power Ranking The Horse Mug Shot Momentum The Tip Sheet
1 John McCain McCain Up “Hi, I’m John McCain, I’m running for President, remember me?” That is probably the first commercial Mac should run once the Democrats end their Rocky vs. Apollo brawl. He’s embarked on a foreign policy tour, a biographical tour and a green tour. All that’s left is a three hour tour. (Question - would McCain be the Skipper or Mister Howell?) He’s facing some challenges in the immediate future, like who’s gonna be his VP, and some challenges down the line, like Ron Paul telling his supporters that there is a Star Trek Convention in St. Paul in early September. Beam me up, Johnny!


The DEM Horse Tip Sheet
Rankings last updated: May 15, 2008

Power Ranking The Horse Momentum The Tip Sheet
1 Barack Obama Obama Up It has been a tale of two campaigns for Barry Obama, one of offense and one of defense. His offense is sort of like his basketball game – it’s pretty good and he knows it. When he was on offense, he buried Hillary Clinton in the month of February. And then came his defense. Yah, his defense is a bit more like his bowling game - painful to watch. He’s been on the defensive since March and has lost more primaries than he won. Despite these gutter balls, he’s managed to pick up a spare by catching and passing Hillary in pledged superdelegates in the last week and then garnering John Edwards’ endorsement this week. The math is strongly in his favor, but assuming he wins the nomination, he’d better bring his hoops game in the general against McCain, because he doesn’t look good in those funny bowling shoes.
2 Hillary Clinton Clinton Even She can’t win, but does she know it? Of course she does, that’s why she’s already running for 2012. She believes that Obama is fatally flawed in the general, but has she looked in the mirror lately? The feeling here is she takes her wins in Kentucky and Puerto Rico , and then bows out “on top”. What’s next for Hill? She’s still a Senator, so she’s got that going for her. Does she push for VP? Go for Majority Leader? Quit politics, gains some weight, grow a beard, take up some pet cause, make a documentary and win an Oscar and a Nobel Prize? Oops, we forgot. Al’s got that market cornered.
The rankings may not be reprinted or quoted in any form without attribution to PoliticalDerby.com.

 
 

Will Bob Barr give conservatives a real choice in November?

Posted on April 1st, 2008 at 12:02 pm by PD Administrator

Chuck Muth has a great take on rumors that Bob Barr may run for the Libertarian Party’s nomination for president. Don’t dismiss this race fans, read on:

A NEW PAIN FOR MCCAIN

by Chuck Muth

While everyone on Right has been enjoying the Democrat food fight between Hillary and Rev. Jeremiah Wright’s chosen candidate, it’s been assumed that John McCain’s primary troubles were pretty much over. After all, he has the delegates to win the GOP nomination and all his competitors have given up.

That is, competitors in the Republican Party.

As I warned here several weeks ago, the GOP still has the Libertarian Party to deal with on the Right…especially if the LP nominates a candidate that “Ron Paul Republicans” could support. Someone like…former Georgia Republican Congressman and House Impeachment Manager Bob Barr.

Unlike most other LP presidential candidates, Barr is a known name and quantity in GOP circles and the has the added benefit of being someone who has actually been elected to office. In addition, Barr was known, admired and respected by conservatives of many stripes for not just being a consistent, philosophical conservative, but one who relished taking the fight to the opposition. Indeed, I believe that when Barr left Congress in 2002 he sported a near-perfect 98 Lifetime rating by the American Conservative Union.

Well, word on the street (and Fox News) is that Barr has decided to pursue the Libertarian Party nomination at their convention next month. And no, this is NOT an April Fool’s joke.

The danger for the GOP here isn’t so much that Barr will win the race outright in November, but that he’ll siphon off enough votes in key swing states - such as Ohio, Florida, Nevada and New Mexico - to deny those states to McCain. Just the loss of Ohio alone could possibly throw the White House to the Democrats this year.

I know Republicans are going to be having a cow over the potential “spoiler” role Barr could be playing in November. But they have only themselves to blame. They’re the ones who nominated McCain. And they’ve never actively courted the libertarian-leaning voter. Indeed, the GOP establishment often went out of their way to insult, offend and drive off Ron Paul supporters during the primary elections and caucuses.

Making matters worse for McCain, Fox News is also reporting that Paul is prepared to endorse his former House colleague over GOP nominee McCain. That could result in a HUGE swing vote in swing states. Can McCain of McCain-Feingold anti-free speech fame woo that block of voters away from Barr and into his camp? Would he even try?

In the past, the Libertarian Party ran presidential candidates who were philosophically sound but complete unknowns to the general population and wholly inexperienced in electoral politics. Who, for instance, had ever heard of Michael Badnarik before he captured the party’s 2004 nomination? Or, for that matter, even after?

The rule for many voters in the voting booth is, “If you don’t know, vote no.” So they vote “no” for the Libertarian candidate.

But Barr is known. He has experience. He has verifiable conservative bona fides. And a reputation, unlike most congressional Republicans, for being willing to fight for his beliefs. If GOP leaders don’t think a lot of GOP voters will go with Barr - even if it means the Democrats win the White House for four years - they are deluding themselves.

Sure, a strong case can and will be made against turning over the keys to Barack and/or Hillary. But after 12 years of one GOP disappointment after another in Congress, and eight years of big-government Republicanism under Bush, many conservatives are soured to the point that they simply are not thinking of this election in those terms.

Indeed, many will legitimately argue with equal intensity that it took the disaster we now know as Jimmy Carter to get us Ronald Reagan. So maybe it will take the disaster surely to come under Barack/Hillary to usher in a new era of true, limited government conservatism in 2012.

The good news here is that the only way I see McCain being able to pull over significant numbers of libertarian-leaning voters from Barr would be to tap a strong libertarian-leaning Republican with strong pro-life credentials as his running mate. And that means South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford. It would be Sanford’s job to compete with Barr for undecided voters like me. I’d welcome that competition in a heartbeat. Which candidate would promise to gut government the most?

The most chaotic, unpredictable presidential campaign, perhaps in U.S. history, marches on. Thank goodness we’re here to witness it. Welcome back, my friends, to the show that never ends.

 
 

2008 Power Rankings: February 2nd

Posted on February 2nd, 2008 at 1:13 pm by Jason Wright, Editor

Welcome to the latest edition of PoliticalDerby.com’s 2008 Power Rankings, the original tracking service in the current race for the White House. The rankings are updated as circumstances warrant and are compiled by our Editor and contributors using wire reports, polls, campaign staffer scuttlebutt and confidential tips.

The GOP Horse Tip Sheet
Rankings last updated: February 2, 2008
Power Ranking The Horse Mug Shot Momentum The Tip Sheet
1 John McCain McCain Up Many thought McCain was done after last summer’s immigration debate. He wasn’t. More suspected that despite a win in his adopted state of New Hampshire, the GOP in South Carolina would deep fry his hopes. They didn’t. Then even more predicted he’d fizzle in the first closed primary in Florida. Nope. J-Mac is now the undisputed front runner and is one Sweet Tuesday away from becoming the presumptive nominee. Is he still old, temperamental, chalky and full of himself? Absolutely.
2 Mitt Romney Romney Down She’s not singing yet, but the fat lady has been forcibly removed from Golden Corral and is gargling with warm salt water in the parking lot. Romney may have distracted her for a moment or two with a decent final debate performance, but it wasn’t enough. McCain played Dean Smith four-corners ball on the Iraq issue and Romney was trapped. Romney needs a big upset somewhere on Tuesday to push the race another week. Utah and Colorado won’t cut it.
3 Mike Huckabee Huckabee Even A month ago Huckabee was a legit contender. Now he’s not even a one-trick pony as his commanding grip on the evangelical vote has disappeared. He pulled 46-percent in Iowa and hasn’t come close to that number since. Sure, Huck could play a role on Time-to-Withdraw Tuesday in southern states, but only to the extent that he guarantees McCain the nomination by siphoning conservative votes from Romney. Judging from Huckabee’s love affair with his McDaddy, it seems he’ll be as satisfied with a McCain win as he would his own.
4 Ron Paul Paul Even Romney gets the most heat for raising and spending millions without much to show for it. Why does Dr. Paul escape such criticism? Paul topped the GOP field, raising almost $20 million in the fourth quarter and spending most of it. Now his web site boasts he’s raised another $5 million already in 2008. What has his impressive booty bought him? An anemic average of 5% of the vote. At least Romney has been burning his own cash.

The DEM Horse Tip Sheet
Rankings last updated: February 2, 2008
Power Ranking The Horse Momentum The Tip Sheet
1
(tied)
Hillary Clinton Clinton Even Hillary and Barack, sitting in a tree, K-I-S-S-I-N-G. The couple did everything in their Hollywood debate but make out like Jack and Rose. Memo to Hill: Put Obama away on Tasty Tuesday - or at least distance yourself - otherwise his momentum may catch and nip you in the next round of scattered primaries. Surely Bill has reminded her that their national lead continues to erode and Obama is making up ground in key states like California.
1
(tied)
Barack Obama Obama Even Doh! Played by the Clintons again, Barack has to wonder how he didn’t see Hillary’s Florida chess move coming. Sure, the delegates mean nothing today, but she could later succeed in seating them at the convention. And even if she doesn’t, Hillary ruled the news cycle and looked like a big winner to millions of news watchers that had no clue Florida was stripped of its delegates. Obama desperately needs to parlay his high profile endorsements by the Kennedys into votes and make their gamble pay off. Because let’s face it, they know people.
The rankings may not be reprinted or quoted in any form without attribution to PoliticalDerby.com.


 
 

2008 Power Rankings: January 22nd

Posted on January 22nd, 2008 at 12:32 pm by Jason Wright, Editor

Welcome to the latest edition of PoliticalDerby.com’s 2008 Power Rankings, the original tracking service in the current race for the White House. The rankings are updated as circumstances warrant and are compiled by our Editor and contributors using wire reports, polls, campaign staffer scuttlebutt and confidential tips.

The GOP Horse Tip Sheet
Rankings last updated: January 22, 2008
Power Ranking The Horse Mug Shot Momentum The Tip Sheet
1 John McCain McCain Up McCain avenged his blood-soaked loss in South Carolina in 2000 and is trying to seize the mantle of front runner in a GOP race that has more personalities than the hypothetical offspring of Rosanne Barr and Rosie O’Donnell. Mac needs to win in Florida, the first closed primary of the season for the ‘Pubs, if he wants to legitimize his ability to win the nomination.
2 Mitt Romney Romney Up Mitt has reinvented his campaign faster than he was able to reinvent his stands on social issues. Going away from the “conservative” candidate to trumpet himself as the “business” candidate served him well in victories in Michigan and Nevada, both of which are struggling economically. Mitt has more delegates than any other GOPer, but his wins thus far aren’t nearly as sexy as NH, IA and SC. A win in Florida? Now that would be sexilicious, and it would make Romney the undisputed front runner.
3 Mike Huckabee Huckabee Down Huck gets credit for running a strong campaign with the loose change he’s scraped from the couches of the Holiday Inn Expresses he frequents as he canvasses for the evangelical vote. But he has yet to prove his ability to win anything beyond his base, and statements about amending the Constitution “so it’s in God’s standards” probably won’t help much. He’s fading fast in Florida. Where can he win again?
4 Ron Paul Paul Up Ron Paul finished second in Nevada. Yippee? He was the only candidate besides Romney to run ads and barely squeezed past McCain to take second. But a silver is a silver, and Paul continues to have a pretty good budget to work with, though it’s unclear where he’s spending it. If the GOP race stays undecided, and Paul somehow, some way fails to pull off winning the nomination, could he have potential to put someone over the top? Or would he even consider endorsing someone he’s so ideologically opposed to?
5 Rudy Giuliani Giuliani Down Despite doing everything in Florida but don Mickey Mouse ears and ride on a float to the Epcot Center, Rudy is on the verge of a historical achievement – the worst-run campaign for president in the history of ever. Google “worst Presidential campaigns” and you’ll get John Connelly and Phil Gramm. But Giuliani’s could end up worse then both of theirs. Combined. Times ten. Plus infinity. Plus one.
10 Fred Thompson Fred Thompson Down Congratulations Fred, you finished third in your must-win state, and it was your best showing thus far. Unlike most failed campaigns where blame is spread evenly around the horse, staff, consultants, and media advisors, this one is all Fred. This campaign goes down as the biggest bust out of Tennessee since Dolly Parton.

(Thanks, Fred, for dropping out an hour after our new rankings debuted. Didn’t you get my voicemail?)


The DEM Horse Tip Sheet
Rankings last updated: January 22, 2008
Power Ranking The Horse Momentum The Tip Sheet
1
(tied)
Hillary Clinton Clinton Down The Clinton spinning machine is on double-cycle now, lowering expectations in Nevada to then boast about a major victory where just a month earlier she had a 20-point lead. The question remains, can the Hill/Bill Good Cop/Bad Cop routine continue to lure Barack into Thunderdome, where their Master Blaster routine works so well for them?
1
(tied)
Barack Obama Obama Down Ever since his impressive victory in Iowa, Obama has endured a campaign against not one, but two Clintons. Team Billary has succeeded in baiting Obama into the mud pit more and more in the last couple of weeks, right where they are comfortable. But with the Iowa glow long faded into the hangover of a campaign battle, Obama needs a strong win in South Carolina for a boost heading into Tsunami Tuesday.
10 John Edwards Edwards Down Poor Edwards. This guy never stopped running after losing out to Emily Kachowski for third grade class president, and he still can’t get it right.He’s trying to stay above the fray and look like the populist candidate, but when you are barely polling double digits in your birth state against a New York carpetbagger and a freshman senator from the Midwest, it’s time for democrats to say, “Good night, John Boy.”
The rankings may not be reprinted or quoted in any form without attribution to PoliticalDerby.com.


 
 

2008 Power Rankings: January 16th, 2008

Posted on January 16th, 2008 at 9:42 am by Jason Wright, Editor

With another round of contests in Nevada and South Carolina this weekend, the Derby brain trust (oxymoron alert) has decided to release our first ever Quickie Rankings. Full rankings will come following this weekend’s crucial results.

Democrats

1. Obama: Yes Hillary “won” Michigan, but Obama was smart enough to keep his name off the ballot. Leads in SC by 10 points in the averages.

2. Hillary: Which advisor thought it was a good idea to set yourself up like that? 45% put their coats on, found their polling place, and essentially voted for someone else by choosing either Uncommitted (hmmm, wonder who they meant?) Gravel or Captain Crazy Pants.

3. Edwards: Wake us when you fail to embarrass yourself somewhere. Anywhere.

Republicans

1. Romney: After Michigan his advisors are baffled that he’s not referred to as the front runner. As he likes to say, “two golds, two silvers,” plus leads in delegate and raw vote count. Michigan saved his political career–at least for now.

2. McCain: Independents didn’t show for McCain in Michigan as they did in 2000, despite the fact that the GOP race was the only show in town and McCain ran very hard there. Looking strong in SC, leading in averages, will that change as new polls hit between now and Saturday?

3. Huckabee: There was a stunning and troubling result in Michigan for Camp Huck. Evangelicals supported Romney over Huckabee 34%-29%. And don’t buy the name ID argument, Huckabee won Iowa and millions in free advertising. Needs SC more than anyone but Fred.

4. Thompson: Currently fourth in the state (SC) he must win to continue. Or would a strong second buy him time?

5. Giuliani: Florida.

6. Paul: Still waiting for that online fervent firestorm of support to manifest itself in the real world.

 
 

2008 Power Rankings: January 4, 2008

Posted on January 4th, 2008 at 7:58 pm by Jason Wright, Editor

Welcome to the latest edition of PoliticalDerby.com’s 2008 Power Rankings, the original tracking service in the current race for the White House. The rankings are updated as circumstances warrant and are compiled by our Editor and contributors using wire reports, polls, campaign staffer scuttlebutt and confidential tips.

The GOP Horse Tip Sheet
Rankings last updated: January 4, 2008
Power Ranking The Horse Mug Shot Momentum The Tip Sheet
1 Mike Huckabee Huckabee Up The Derby has discovered how Huckabee won the Iowa caucus, but after serious reflection, we’ve decided not to announce it. It’s never too late to do the right thing. Nevertheless an impressive victory, but does anyone else wonder why no leading conservatives support him?
2 Mitt Romney Romney Romney wishes he’d never raised the bar in Iowa with that summertime straw poll win. Because he just crawled right under it with his finish in the caucus. Now it’s either win New Hampshire or it’s back to that minimum wage job at Bain.
3 John McCain McCain Up Forget expensive scientific polling data. Google “McCain + Lazarus” and you’ll find 48,600 results. But try Googling “McCain + Amnesty” and you’ll find 321,000 results. McCain better hope New Hampshire voters prefer Yahoo.
4 Rudy Giuliani Giuliani Down Rudy’s strategy from launch day was to ignore Iowa, survive New Hampshire, and cruise on Super Duper Tuesday. He’s right on track, if by “cruise” he meant Carnival and seven tasty meals and snacks a day.
5 Fred Thompson Fred Thompson Up It could have been worse for Fred. He lives to play another day in New Hampshire and probably runs on to South Carolina. But he’s out of money, and Metamucil doesn’t come cheap.
6 Ron Paul Paul Down Ron Paul has exactly one more chance to prove the naysayers wrong. It’s all about New Hampshire. He pulled only slightly more support than the “biased” mainstream polls predicted. Maybe all that Internet buzz was just that — buzzed people using the Internet.

The DEM Horse Tip Sheet
Rankings last updated: January 4, 2008
Power Ranking The Horse Momentum The Tip Sheet
1 Barack Obama Obama Down Pick your sports metaphor: Obama just pulled a Buster Douglas, a Miracle on Ice, a Joe Namath in Super Bowl III. Even better yet, a win in New Hampshire will put Obama farther ahead than any horse since Secretariat.
2 Hillary Clinton Clinton Down Hillary’s third place finish in Iowa was more than a flesh wound, it was the systematic breaking of three out of four legs. Hillary must win New Hampshire, period, or she’ll be on Divorce Court faster than you can say Judge Mablean.
3 John Edwards Edwards What do we call it when 70% of Iowa caucus-goers reject you despite spending six years of your life there begging for their support? A loss.
4 Bill Richardson Richardson Richardson is likely to run until February 5th, regardless the outcome in New Hampshire. But is there truth to the rumors that Richardson’s wife calls him “Mr. Number Two” behind closed doors? Let’s hope not.
The rankings may not be reprinted or quoted in any form without attribution to PoliticalDerby.com.


 
 

2008 Power Rankings: December 16th, 2007

Posted on December 16th, 2007 at 1:01 am by Jason Wright, Editor

Welcome to the Special Christmas Edition of PoliticalDerby.com’s 2008 Power Rankings, the original tracking service in the current race for the White House. The rankings are updated as circumstances warrant and are compiled by our Editor and contributors using wire reports, polls, campaign staffer scuttlebutt and confidential tips.

What do the leading horses want from Santa?

The DEM Horse Tip Sheet
Rankings last updated: December 16, 2007
Power Ranking The Horse Momentum The Tip Sheet: “What does each candidate want from Santa Clause this year?”
1 Barack Obama Obama Down
  • That someone actually begins to care that Oprah endorsed him
  • That Jesse Jackson and Al Sharpton don’t decide to pull an Oprah and start campaigning for him
  • Wins in Iowa and New Hampshire, because even Bill’s old state trooper buddies couldn’t stop that momentum
2 Hillary Clinton Clinton Down
  • A photo of Obama writing his kindergarten musings from a mosque
  • Power outages at the major pollsters call centers
  • For every woman who’s ever slept with Bill to endorse her, ensuring Hillary wins the nomination unanimously
3 John Edwards Edwards
  • A drug company scandal
  • An insurance company scandal
  • A mega-scandal involving Hillary, Ellen, Obama, and Larry Craig
4 Bill Richardson Richardson
  • A list of china patterns for Air Force Two
  • Ribbons, lots of ribbons
  • A giant pair of scissors
5 Joe Biden Biden
  • To have been a governor instead of a senator
  • For voters to actually vote based on foreign policy street cred
  • A Festivus miracle
Others receiving votes: Chris Dodd, Al Gore, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich
The GOP Horse Tip Sheet
Rankings last updated: December 16, 2007
Power Ranking The Horse Momentum The Tip Sheet: “What does each candidate want from Santa Clause this year?”
1 Mike Huckabee Huckabee Up
  • Short memories for pocket-book conservatives regarding his tax policies as Arkansas governor
  • $25 million and 3,000 volunteers to compete after Iowa
  • Someone to text message him whenever NIE reports on Iran are released
2 Mitt Romney Romney Down
  • That Donny and Marie Osmond don’t decide to pull an Oprah and start campaigning for him
  • A win in New Hampshire equal to his likely loss in Iowa
  • For Huckabee to give up politics and return to the pulpit
3 Rudy Giuliani Giuliani
  • Short memories for social conservatives regarding his policies as NYC mayor
  • A family therapist
  • A survival kit that lasts until Super Duper Tuesday
4 Ron Paul Paul Up
  • A top three finish in Iowa
  • A monster 4th quarter at the bank
  • For all states to suddenly decide to allow primary votes to be cast online
5 John McCain McCain
  • Two words: New Hampshire
  • For his rivals to continue gushing over him in public
  • For 12 million illegals to voluntarily go home so immigration is no longer an issue
6 Fred Thompson Fred Thompson Down
  • To actually give a rat’s rear-end whether he wins or loses
  • A referral to the same doctor that gave John Kerry botox
  • The end of the Hollywood writers’ strike so he can start campaigning again
Others receiving votes: Duncan Hunter, Tom Tancredo, Lazlo

The rankings may not be reprinted or quoted in any form without attribution to PoliticalDerby.com.

 
 

2008 Power Rankings: November 5th, 2007

Posted on November 5th, 2007 at 7:00 am by Jason Wright, Editor

Welcome to the latest edition of PoliticalDerby.com’s 2008 Power Rankings, the original tracking service in the current race for the White House. The rankings are updated as circumstances warrant and are compiled by our Editor and contributors using wire reports, polls, campaign staffer scuttlebutt and confidential tips.

And now off to the races!

The DEM Horse Tip Sheet
Rankings last updated: November 5, 2007
Power Ranking The Horse Momentum The Tip Sheet
1 Hillary Clinton Clinton Down Hillary is still out in front of the pack. But she didn’t just stumble at the last debate, she fell on her face and swallowed three pounds of dirt. The rumble of Obama and Edwards galloping behind her seems to have put her on edge and democrats must be wondering if she can’t handle the pressure in a democratic debate, how will she fare under much more heat from the GOP during the general election? In a matter of 90 minutes Hillary went thick skin to easy bleeder. (previous ranking: #1)
1 Hillary Clinton Clinton Down In the past, Hillary occupied two or three of the top positions because of her commanding lead. This round she needs two slots because she’s riding two horses. Debate watchers saw her standing astride two thoroughbreds with one foot on each saddle. One horse is racing for the far-left base of the party while the other one heads for the middle. It’s tough to balance like that and still ride fast enough to stay ahead of the competition. (previous ranking: #1)
3 Barack Obama Obama Down Barack has hit his stride and is discovering that anti-Hillary momentum might carry him past the verbal miscues. He’s said several bone-headed things lately, but thus far a smile and a wave makes everything peachy again. Though Hillary’s universally panned debate loss gave Obama an extra burst of energy, he’s still not a good bet to overtake her. But at least he’s making things interesting again. (previous ranking: #4)
4 John Edwards Edwards Down College for everyone! Health care for everyone! Cotton candy for everyone! Edwards is littering the track with promises and sound bites. Then when he’s not describing a new entitlement, he’s explaining why he’s the real alternative to Hillary. The fact that he can’t even see Hillary from where he is on the track doesn’t seem to matter. Still, every bad day for Hillary is a good day for Edwards. (previous ranking: #5)
5 Bill Richardson Richardson Down Richardson gets a bump because Hillary came back to the pack in recent weeks. But the governor needs to do more than lope around the track selling himself as the alternative to the alternative who is the alternative to Bush. Never in the history of US presidential politics has a candidate so obviously been running for the ribbon-cutting slot on the ticket. (previous ranking: unranked)
Others receiving votes: Joe Biden, Chris Dodd, Al Gore, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich

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The GOP Horse Tip Sheet
Rankings last updated: November 5, 2007
Power Ranking The Horse Momentum The Tip Sheet
1 Rudy Giuliani Giuliani Rudy’s remains in the top spot due to his healthy year-long national lead. But the Mayor will test history by trying to win the GOP nomination despite likely losing Iowa, New Hampshire and possibly South Carolina, where he now trails slightly in the state averages to Governor Romney. Rudy’s team loves to crow about their double digit national lead, but they’d trade 10 national points for a win in Iowa or New Hampshire in a New York minute. (previous ranking: #1)
2 Mitt Romney Romney Down Romney’s campaign is one of the more perplexing in recent cycles. His national numbers are almost exactly what they were 6 months and tens of millions of dollars ago. But his state numbers improve almost poll-to-poll. He sits very comfortably ahead in Iowa, somewhat comfortably ahead in New Hampshire, and for the first time leads in South Carolina, a state presumed unwinnable by a Mormon. Would you rather be the horse with the national lead or the one leading the states that vote first? (previous ranking: #3)
3 Fred Thompson Fred Thompson Down Fred manages to stay in the running, even though he likes to wander off the track every once in a while to graze in the infield. He might be the first candidate to contend for the nomination without actually campaigning. And no, we’re not comparing him to the reluctant George Washington. It’s hard to imagine the GOP base, no matter how much they like him, rewarding his part-time campaign with the GOP nomination. (previous ranking: #2)
4 Mike Huckabee
(tie)
Huckabee Up As Fred fails to impress, Huckabee creeps toward the top-tier. Huck’s numbers have improved in Iowa and a second place showing would make him an instant contender. His greatest hurdles are cash — he has almost none — and the growing chorus of conservative voices accusing him of being a RINO while serving as Arkansas governor. (previous ranking: #5)
5 John McCain
(tie)
McCain Down The fact that these two are tied says a lot about both candidates. McCain continues to fail to meet expectations while Paul soars right over them. McCain looks more tired than battle tested and Paul looks energetic and spunky. So yes, we finally have a Year 2000 McCain in the race! But it’s Ron, not John, and that’s why Paul is capturing the grassroots energy that once belonged to McCain. (previous ranking: tied for #4)
5 Ron Paul
(tie)
Paul Up See McCain, Tired. (previous ranking: #5)
Others receiving votes: Duncan Hunter, Tom Tancredo

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2008 Power Rankings: October 13th, 2007

Posted on October 13th, 2007 at 2:35 pm by Jason Wright, Editor

Welcome to the latest edition of PoliticalDerby.com’s 2008 Power Rankings, the original tracking service in the current race for the White House. The rankings are updated as circumstances warrant and are compiled by our Editor and contributors using wire reports, polls, campaign staffer scuttlebutt and confidential tips.

And now off to the races!

The DEM Horse Tip Sheet
Rankings last updated: October 13, 2007
Power Ranking The Horse Momentum The Tip Sheet
1 Hillary Clinton