There is no leader in the GOP race. If you define leader as a clear favorite who stands out against the rest of the field. The star is the race itself. Right now, Marco Rubio is just ahead of Scott Walker at 13% to 12%. And Rand Paul is doing surprisingly well in third place with 10%. This is according to the just released Fox poll results. Jeb Bush has slipped to 4th spot which he shares with Mike Huckabee with both getting 9%. And Ted Cruz is sitting not-too-pretty in 5th spot with 8%.

To be fair to the beaming candidate from South Florida, Rubio tracks at 15% in the Quinnipiac University poll, one which polls Republicans nationally and is likely a better indicator of how a GOP candidate is doing among party voters. As Rubio gains traction in the tightest nomination race in recent history – so far at least – maybe his optimistic message is being heard and held to heart by an increasing number of voters. And what the Fox poll does show is that maybe, as Barbara Bush herself said and then retracted later, maybe we’ve had enough Bushes in the White House. At least for now the Bush dynasty is seen as a negative by voters. How Jeb Bush officially launches his campaign will matter more than it did when he began seriously preparing for a run late last year. Jeb now has to show he’s a man for the future and not one burdened by his family’s past, even as his brother and father remain popular figures among Republicans. And he will have to do it with a former protege of his leading the field. Maybe Jeb is patient and steady in a way the media and voters are no longer accustomed to. Or maybe Jeb is still not quite aware of how much the world has changed, even in the 7 years since his brother last held office.

Back in August of 2014, Jeb Bush wrote a piece in Gulfshore Life on the things he loves about Florida. It was a list that could be the planks of his platform, to use an old-fashioned turn of phrase. Diversity, Technology as in NASA, the Environment, Defense and Patriotism, Entrepreneurship and low Taxes, International Trade, Education, Sports, and local attractions of the sunshine state, all made the list of glowing tributes to his adopted state. As an individual, Jeb Bush is more conservative than his views on immigration might suggest, and this list seems to suggest that. But his views on immigration and education will have to be placed front and center on any platform he brings before America. And he will have to defend his choices in front of GOP conservative voters who doubt his credentials. Will waiting to announce make it any easier for Jeb Bush to accomplish this?

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