We were up until the wee hours of the morning until the Iowa Caucus was decided back in January, or at least until everyone believed it had been decided. Join us tonight until the election is called. Hopefully it isn’t called one way, then the other, then back the original way again, then subject to a recount followed by a Supreme Court challenge.

The first polls will close on the east coast within the hour. For Mitt Romney to win the Presidency, he must carry Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, and one of Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, or Wisconsin with one of the smaller swing states. Otherwise, President Obama will have his second term.

Comments

  • Anonymous

    Part of the problem was the candidate field wasn’t all that great to begin with. At least for 2016 we’ll have Ryan, Pence, West, Rubio and Jindal to choose from.

    • Anonymous

      So basically Ryan – neocon, West – neocon, Rubio – neocon, and 2 other guys nobody cares about. Anyways, Rand Paul is going to be a major player in 2016. He’s already made it pretty clear thats his intentions. West couldn’t even win reelection in his district lol..

      • Anonymous

        West will win his seat after they recount. You don’t go from being up by 2000 votes to losing by 2400 in a single county.

        I think Rand could be a better version of the Paul message. Something tells me that nobody wants to listen anymore.

        • Anonymous

          They can listen or be irrelevant. This election has shown that a neocon cannot win a general election. There has never been an easier election victory, should have been a slam dunk. Rand’s message will resonate when America is in the gutter in a few years.

          • Anonymous

            A neocon did win the general election. Obama’s policies have been quite similar to that of us neocons. The only non neocons who were running in 2012 was Ron Paul and Gary Johnson. How’d that work out?

  • Anonymous

    PPP had the most accurate polling of the election. Bu bu bu liberal bias. Time to open your eyes and grow up.

    • Anonymous

      Also surprised you guys arent freaking out that neocon psychopath Allen West lost.

      • Anonymous

        I was never a big West guy. When others were calling for West to be a veep pick I found that completely laughable. I realize that West’s bomb throwing is only electable to a select number of congressional districts….apparently his own not being one of them.

  • Anonymous

    Did Whodat survive the night? As puffed up as he was I can’t imagine how he’s going to live this one down.

  • German Observer

    I guess what quite a bunch of you have found under the christmas-tree was … socks.

    • Rusty Shackleford

      That or Obama phones.

  • Anonymous

    I have a feeling this was the last chance of electing a Republican that you or I will see for the rest of our lifetimes. I also see the GOP go the way of the WHIG party. A new party will take over within the next ten years (especially as Republicans loses more and more seats to Democrats)

    It’s either that or the country will be gone before that happens.

    • Anonymous

      Nah, this just opens the door for actual liberty Republicans. Neoconservatism is dead. Social conservatism is dead. They will never be elected again. You can open up to allowing libertarian Republicans as candidates or continue to lose every election.

  • Anonymous

    Mitt ran a smart disciplined substantive campaign. The loss reflects more about the American people than the candidate. What this proves is that Romney was 100% correct when spoke about the “47%” of Americans who are government dependents and whose votes are guaranteed to go to the party that continues to promise them their goody-bag.

    The GOP has to not scare away any potential voter that is not a white male. The Dems will continue to target special interest voters to form their mass coalition.

    • Steve M.

      Except a large portion of those 47% are those receiving Social Security … and those age 65 and over actually favored Romney. So not … Romney was not 100% correct.

    • German Observer

      Brian, as much as I agree with you sometimes, I really can’t understand your irrational, love-affair-like relationsship with Romney and frankly speaking, I think what you say is plain nonsense.

      In addition to Steves answer, I think, that Romneys campaign was so poorly managed, that its miraculous, that it survived for so long. I agree with you (and did so all the way), that Romney was the best candidate available. But his only bright moment was his good preparation at the first debate. Apart of that qwe could list dozends of shortcomings. Starting with gaffe after gaffe, letting Obama shape and define him for months, a poor convention, his lacking ability to match up with Obamas ground game and so so and so on.

      Obama was vulnerable. I even think, that Obama’s campaign was not managed particularily well. No doubt, he was beatable. But Romneys fucked it up. i think its as simple as that.

  • Anonymous

    Told you guys. Man, that prediction thread is comic gold.

    • Jason Wright, Editor

      Told us what? That it was Ron Paul or Obama? Guess what? It was also Newt or Obama, Rick or Obama, etc. etc. etc. All you did was predict Obama would win reelection. Your argument was always impossible to prove because Ron Paul was a failure and never had a chance at winning. Good for you, you’re a genuine political, savant :) You and the majority of political analyst accurately predicted Obama. Well done, Rob :)

      • Anonymous

        Sounds like you’re mad Jason. Sorry that your mormon savior lost. Told you he never had a chance at winning.

      • Jason Wright, Editor

        Rob, not mad at all, sorry. (And I deleted your comment because we don’t allow the bigotry, which you should know by now.)

        As is your style, you didn’t actually address the point. Your grand prediction was that the only two possible outcomes were Obama or Paul. I wouldn’t say that was going out on a limb. That’s like guaranteeing that if Akin had won the presidential nomination he would have definitely beaten Obama.

        Also, if you look back at my comments over the last 18 months, you’ll see Romney was never my first choice.

        It’s a sad night for Romney’s team, no doubt. But they did something your horse never has. They got nominated.

        • German Observer

          By the way Jason, who was your first choice? I seem to have missed it.

          And just to use the opportunity: thanks a lot for keeping that website running. You are often just a nuisance, there is a lot of dangerous freaks around here, but its also great fun to read and participate. Thanks for that.

    • Anonymous

      Didn’t you predict Ron Paul would be the candidate?

      • Anonymous

        Didn’t you predict that your boy Mitt would crush Obama?

      • Jason Wright, Editor

        Brian, didn’t you predict Obama wouldn’t run for reelection? ;-)

        • Anonymous

          I did predict that Obama would not seek a second term. Wishful thinking I guess. I believe that prediction was proven wrong whn Obama showed up to accept the nomination at the convention.

          I NEVER once predicted my “boy” Mitt would “crush” anyone. I always said that Obama as the incumbent had an advantage going into the election. What I have always said is that Mitt was by far the best and most hopeful chance of defeating Obama. I stand by that statement today. Mitt ran an exceptional well s and disciplined campaign. As I said several weeks back. If Mitt loses it will reflect more on the American people than the candidate. Mitt was right about the 47% who live off the efforts of others. When you have that percentage of people who depend on government it is not surprising they will voted for the party of dependents.

          I have also stated in the past the complete utter political stupidity that GOP has engaged itself in when it comes to the immigration issue. You cannot have a political party that sheds voters so willingly when the Dems are more than willing to carry the water for so many.

          • Steve M.

            C’mon Brian … just last week you said that barring anything unexpected, Romney was going to ride the momentum to victory.
            Also, would you stop with the 47% comment until you can explain how old people (who make up a large portion — maybe majority — of the “47%” who have a Federal Income Tax rate less than or equal to 0) favored Romney in the election.

            • Anonymous

              Just last week I said, what? I have not posted in PD in weeks and the words “ride the momentum to victory” or “barring anything unexpected” are not in my lexicon.

              Am I disappointed that America chose to stay with “The Amateur”? Yes

              What I am more disappointed in is the fact that I believe Mitt Romney would have done an incredible job of turning this ship around. He is a man of discipline, intellect, and motivation. Mitt Romney did not lose anywhere as much as did the American people. Fortunately for them they are too stupid to realize it.

              • Steve M.

                Forgive me, I was paraphrasing … “The last 100 yards are in front of the two horses and Mitt is up by 1 link. Barring a breakdown on the stretch of the final 100 yards this race is over.” on October 23

                http://politicalderby.com/2012/10/23/forward-not-backward/#disqus_thread

              • Anonymous

                One sure lesson I learned from this campaign, and that of history, is to never bet against the incumbent.

  • Jason Wright, Editor

    What a dull, anti-climactic finish. Pollsters are essentially vindicated. No major surprises at all tonight. Those of us who picked Romney assumed some of those state polls would be wrong. In the end, the averages were dead on.

    • Steve M.

      So much for all of that speculation about the skewed polls, eh?

      • Jason Wright, Editor

        Agreed. The pollsters are smiling tonight. For the record, we were not bashing the polls for oversampling and our composite looks pretty good tonight.

        • Steve M.

          I agree PD wasn’t … but several regular commentors around here were.

  • Steve M.

    Do you guys still have hope? Think you still have a chance at Ohio, Va & Fla?

  • Anonymous

    I can’t believe that many people could be so stupid to vote for dependency

  • Steve M.

    It looks like those picking Romney in a run away are out of the running…

  • https://twitter.com/#!/SAR1776 Scott A. Robinson, Editor

    What time does everyone think we will know who the President will be? Or will we even know tonight?

    • Rusty Shackleford

      We already know who the President is.

      ;-)

  • https://twitter.com/#!/SAR1776 Scott A. Robinson, Editor

    We’re already seeing exit polls. What do you make of them? Do they really tell us much, especially this early?

    • Jason Wright, Editor

      The VA exit polls are interesting. If the numbers are right that Romney won among government employees, that’s a great sign for him in this battleground.

      • https://twitter.com/#!/SAR1776 Scott A. Robinson, Editor

        Agreed. It’s the continuously-growing Washington area where Republicans struggle. The rest of the Virgina is rather conservative.