Races can often be looked at in retrospect at certain dates when things began to change. In 2008, the homestretch according to polling began September 18, 2008 as Barack Obama led John McCain by only 1.9%. Then Obama only pulled away from there. In comparison, on September 18, 2012, Barack Obama led Mitt Romney by 2.8%, eventually reaching a high of 4.1% on September 30. Since then everything has changed. On today’s date in 2008, Obama’s lead had grown to a completely unbeatable 8%. Today, incumbent Obama trails Mitt Romney by 0.7%, who seems to have turned the corner on October 9, leading the RCP average all but three days since. Romney has also led the daily Gallup tracking poll every single day since October 11. Additionally, despite losing 8 points of his advantage among male voters, Romney has completely erased a 16 point deficit among female voters.

In light of the recent debate on foreign policy, the Washington Post reports:

The government expects to continue adding names to kill or capture lists for years.

Among senior Obama administration officials, there is a broad consensus that such operations are likely to be extended at least another decade. Given the way al-Qaeda continues to metastasize, some officials said no clear end is in sight.

“We can’t possibly kill everyone who wants to harm us,” a senior administration official said. “It’s a necessary part of what we do. . . . We’re not going to wind up in 10 years in a world of everybody holding hands and saying, ‘We love America.’ ”

Comments

  • rochelle

    Ah, but one night stands have consequences don’t they. http://ifiwerepresident-rochelle.blogspot.com/2012/10/choices-and-consequences.html

  • Anonymous

    Since it’s open thread Thursday, just wanted to say – I miss Whodat, the old salty seadog.

    • Anonymous

      Ditto.

  • Anonymous

    Anyone setting up a contest on guessing how many electoral points each guy will get? Can’t remember if we did that last time…four long years ago.

    • https://twitter.com/#!/PD_Scott Scott A. Robinson, Editor

      Yes. We will definitely have a contest for election night. We expect the open thread for the general election to exceed our most popular post of all time, the Iowa Caucus open thread.

      http://politicalderby.com/2012/01/03/iowa-caucus-open-thread/

  • kjco

    Electoral college may have saved us from Gore but I have a feeling it’s our turn to have them kick us in the teeth. Look @ RPC electoral map w/no toss ups–then same map w/toss ups–w/o OH & PA, no chance. Unions own OH–even if Romney did win, he wouldn’t: Al Franken, D-MN.

    • Anonymous

      Not worried yet. NH & IA I am confident are moving to Mitt. Question is, which one will follow: WI, OH, or PA? Only 1 of those is needed for Mitt to win.

  • gururussell

    I’m appalled and disgusted (though not really surprised) to hear that “Republican” Colin Powell is endorsing Obama.
    .
    http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/25/powell-gives-obama-his-endorsement-for-a-second-time/