It’s prognostication time. What will the final tally be in South Carolina? If someone gets the order and percentages of the top four correct, Jason Wright will send you the book of your choice from his personal stash. If there is a tie, tie breakers are on first Rick Perry then Herman Cain percentages of the vote. Also, don’t forget that I will be voting in this primary, so you may want to consider that in your selections. Now get to it.

Comments

  • RickDancliff

    SC predictions:

    Gingrich 35
    Romney 32
    Paul 18
    Santorum 12

  • RickDancliff

    SC predictions:

    Gingrich 35
    Romney 32
    Paul 18
    Santorum 12

  • Fgriefer

    Meant to add Perry and Cain both at less than 1% for tiebreaker purposes.

  • Fgriefer

    Meant to add Perry and Cain both at less than 1% for tiebreaker purposes.

  • Fgriefer

    Gingrich – 39%
    Romney – 28%
    Paul – 17%
    Santorum – 15%

  • Fgriefer

    Gingrich – 39%
    Romney – 28%
    Paul – 17%
    Santorum – 15%

  • Fitzwdarcey

    Gingrich 39%
    Romney 27%
    Paul 16%
    Santorum 10%
    Colbert 3%
    Perry 2%
    Cain 1%

    All results confirmed by the Magic 8 Ball.

  • Anonymous

    1. Gingrich 35%
    2. Romney 34%
    3. Paul 17%
    4. Santorum 12%
    5. Perry 1%
    6. Cain 1%

  • Anonymous

    1. Gingrich 35%
    2. Romney 34%
    3. Paul 17%
    4. Santorum 12%
    5. Perry 1%
    6. Cain 1%

  • Katie

    1. Gingrich 37%
    2. Romney 35%
    3. Paul 15%
    4. Santorum 12%
    5. Perry 1%
    6. Cain 0%

  • Katie

    1. Gingrich 37%
    2. Romney 35%
    3. Paul 15%
    4. Santorum 12%
    5. Perry 1%
    6. Cain 0%

  • German Observer

    I’m gonna stay in line with the majority here as far as the order is concerned:

    Gingrich: 38 – to blame the media for ones flaws seems to pay out well, negative ads also – and Romney managed surprisingly good to reinforce the ABR-mood

    Romney: 26 – a candidate should be prepared for the tough questions, Romney was not at all, which is a surprise for a candidate who acts methodically very sober otherwise

    Santorum: 17 – this guy was clearly educated for cleanlyness too hard as child, but positioned himself as the last guy, where “social conservatives” may like to assemble behind

    Paul: 16 – guess he had a good debate performance recently and is respected for his credibility, plus he will catch some of the ABR-votes of those, who see Newt as to be too demagoge and Santorum as to be too Evangelical –  so he will finish somewhat higher then his last polling-numbers

    Perry, Cain, Colbert and others: 3

    • TheLogicalLeft

      Can we be friends?

      • German Observer

        Ah LogicalLeft, with out any disrespect, friendship is a big big term and itneeds some time to grow and oftenly to be proved first. But anyway, as i posted before, I’m glad that you found your way to PD. So I can concentrate on my genuine role and leave the main work to you, as you are more active and articulate than me.

        By the way, it looks as if my prediction was pretty close, ins’t it. At a first glance even the closest among all PD-pundits.

  • German Observer

    I’m gonna stay in line with the majority here as far as the order is concerned:

    Gingrich: 38 – to blame the media for ones flaws seems to pay out well, negative ads also – and Romney managed surprisingly good to reinforce the ABR-mood

    Romney: 26 – a candidate should be prepared for the tough questions, Romney was not at all, which is a surprise for a candidate who acts methodically very sober otherwise

    Santorum: 17 – this guy was clearly educated for cleanlyness too hard as child, but positioned himself as the last guy, where “social conservatives” may like to assemble behind

    Paul: 16 – guess he had a good debate performance recently and is respected for his credibility, plus he will catch some of the ABR-votes of those, who see Newt as to be too demagoge and Santorum as to be too Evangelical –  so he will finish somewhat higher then his last polling-numbers

    Perry, Cain, Colbert and others: 3

    • TheLogicalLeft

      Can we be friends?

      • German Observer

        Ah LogicalLeft, with out any disrespect, friendship is a big big term and itneeds some time to grow and oftenly to be proved first. But anyway, as i posted before, I’m glad that you found your way to PD. So I can concentrate on my genuine role and leave the main work to you, as you are more active and articulate than me.

        By the way, it looks as if my prediction was pretty close, ins’t it. At a first glance even the closest among all PD-pundits.

  • Anonymous

    Gingrich – 37.4%
    Paul – 28.3%
    Romney – 21% 
    Santorum – 10.7%
    Perry – 2.1%
    Cain – 0.5%

    • Jason Wright, Editor

      You’re predicting Ron Paul will over-perform his polling by FIFTEEN points? Why do you do this to yourself… Wait, don’t answer that. We already know.

      • Anonymous

        Much love to you too… lol

        I think it’s more likely to swap Romney and Paul.

  • Anonymous

    Gingrich – 37.4%
    Paul – 28.3%
    Romney – 21% 
    Santorum – 10.7%
    Perry – 2.1%
    Cain – 0.5%

    • Jason Wright, Editor

      You’re predicting Ron Paul will over-perform his polling by FIFTEEN points? Why do you do this to yourself… Wait, don’t answer that. We already know.

      • Anonymous

        Much love to you too… lol

        I think it’s more likely to swap Romney and Paul.

  • https://twitter.com/#!/PD_Scott Scott A. Robinson, Editor

    I’m really surprised by everyone who is so bullish on Romney. I just don’t see it.

    • Anonymous

      Amen.  Not sure they are actually paying attention.

      • TheLogicalLeft

        You guys have no idea. Being on both BYU and SVU campuses, you’d swear Romney already won the election in november.

  • https://twitter.com/#!/PD_Scott Scott A. Robinson

    I’m really surprised by everyone who is so bullish on Romney. I just don’t see it.

    • Anonymous

      Amen.  Not sure they are actually paying attention.

      • TheLogicalLeft

        You guys have no idea. Being on both BYU and SVU campuses, you’d swear Romney already won the election in november.

  • Tarek Elmessidi

    1. Romney 38%
    2. Gingrich 33%
    3. Paul 15%
    4. Santorum 14%

  • Tarek Elmessidi

    1. Romney 38%
    2. Gingrich 33%
    3. Paul 15%
    4. Santorum 14%

  • steph

    Romney 31%
    Paul 24%
    Gingrich 22%
    Santorum 21%
    Cain 1%
    Perry 1%

  • steph

    Romney 31%
    Paul 24%
    Gingrich 22%
    Santorum 21%
    Cain 1%
    Perry 1%

  • Whodat

    Newtie 32%
    Romneycare 23%
    Sanctimonious  17%
    Kookieman 13%
    Early Bird Special 9%
    Fisherman’s Platter 3%
    Suicide over alternatives 2%
    Whodat’s book  1%

  • Whodat

    Newtie 32%
    Romneycare 23%
    Sanctimonious  17%
    Kookieman 13%
    Early Bird Special 9%
    Fisherman’s Platter 3%
    Suicide over alternatives 2%
    Whodat’s book  1%

  • http://twitter.com/Bob_Bigham Bob Bigham

    Another Iowa
    1./2. Romney and Gingrich Tie – 32%
    3. Paul – 18% 
    4. Santorum – 16%
    5. Other 2%

  • http://twitter.com/Bob_Bigham Bob Bigham

    Another Iowa
    1./2. Romney and Gingrich Tie – 32%
    3. Paul – 18% 
    4. Santorum – 16%
    5. Other 2%

  • JE

    Romney 33%
    Gingrich 31%
    Paul 17%
    Santorum 14%
    Perry 3%
    Cain 2%

  • JE

    Romney 33%
    Gingrich 31%
    Paul 17%
    Santorum 14%
    Perry 3%
    Cain 2%

  • Gururussell

    1.  Gingrich…….39%
    2.  Romney…….32%   this includes Scott’s vote :)
    3.  Paul…………16%
    4.  Santorum…..12%
    5.  Perry………..0.8%
    6.  Cain/Colbert.0.2%

    • https://twitter.com/#!/PD_Scott Scott A. Robinson, Editor

      Don’t be so sure.

      • TheLogicalLeft

        Mysterious… Honestly I always took you for a Ron Paul kinda guy :D (kidding!)

  • Gururussell

    1.  Gingrich…….39%
    2.  Romney…….32%   this includes Scott’s vote :)
    3.  Paul…………16%
    4.  Santorum…..12%
    5.  Perry………..0.8%
    6.  Cain/Colbert.0.2%

    • https://twitter.com/#!/PD_Scott Scott A. Robinson

      Don’t be so sure.

      • TheLogicalLeft

        Mysterious… Honestly I always took you for a Ron Paul kinda guy :D (kidding!)

  • TheLogicalLeft

    Who wins South Carolina? Obama. Hands down. This election has derailed Mitt and hurt Newt.

    • Gururussell

      Yes, SC has always been such a solid Obama state.
      Sheesh, how blue is YOUR Koolaid, my friend?

      • TheLogicalLeft

        I think you missed what I was saying. I wasn’t arguing that South Carolina was going blue :D.

        It’s a De Facto, just like how I believe Obama ends up winning every GOP debate, even though he’s not in it. As long as the GOP keeps slinging mud at themselves, Obama will be high fiving all night long.

    • https://twitter.com/#!/PD_Scott Scott A. Robinson, Editor

      Yeah. The South Carolina Democratic Party also brought you Alvin Greene.

      • TheLogicalLeft

        Je ne comprend pas? How does Alvin Greene fit in with conversation?

  • TheLogicalLeft

    Who wins South Carolina? Obama. Hands down. This election has derailed Mitt and hurt Newt.

    • Gururussell

      Yes, SC has always been such a solid Obama state.
      Sheesh, how blue is YOUR Koolaid, my friend?

      • TheLogicalLeft

        I think you missed what I was saying. I wasn’t arguing that South Carolina was going blue :D.

        It’s a De Facto, just like how I believe Obama ends up winning every GOP debate, even though he’s not in it. As long as the GOP keeps slinging mud at themselves, Obama will be high fiving all night long.

    • https://twitter.com/#!/PD_Scott Scott A. Robinson

      Yeah. The South Carolina Democratic Party also brought you Alvin Greene.

      • TheLogicalLeft

        Je ne comprend pas? How does Alvin Greene fit in with conversation?

  • Rusty Shackleford

    Romney. 31%
    Gingrich 28%
    Paul. 19%
    Santorum 14%
    Perry 3%

    Please send me the “Chrismas Jars”. I promise I will give it away!

  • Rusty Shackleford

    Romney. 31%
    Gingrich 28%
    Paul. 19%
    Santorum 14%
    Perry 3%

    Please send me the “Chrismas Jars”. I promise I will give it away!

  • Joewobbe

    Romney 31%
    Gingrich 29%
    Paul      22%
    Santorum 16% 

  • Joewobbe

    Romney 31%
    Gingrich 29%
    Paul      22%
    Santorum 16% 

  • NephiCougar

    Romney 33%
    Gingrich 26%
    Paul 22%
    Santorum 18%
    Perry 1%
    Cain 0%

  • NephiCougar

    Romney 33%
    Gingrich 26%
    Paul 22%
    Santorum 18%
    Perry 1%
    Cain 0%

  • gd884

    Gingrich – 36%
    Romney – 30%
    Paul – 16%
    Santorum – 12%
    Cain – 5%
    Perry – 1%

  • gd884

    Gingrich – 36%
    Romney – 30%
    Paul – 16%
    Santorum – 12%
    Cain – 5%
    Perry – 1%

  • Kingof…..

    Gingrich 34%, Romney 29%, Paul 19%, Santorum 14%, Perry 3%, Cain 1%.  When I win tell Jason I would like either “Days of Infamy” or “Never Call Retreat”.  Two great books that everyone should read.

    • https://twitter.com/#!/PD_Scott Scott A. Robinson, Editor

      Except it will come from Jason’s stash, so it would have to be something he has written….

      • TheLogicalLeft

        The more important question is, who is Scott voting for :D? As my new boss per say, I def. don’t want to go against him :).

        Also were do you live Scott and what’s your sense on the ground? I lived in Inman, around Spartanburg for a while, and I went back to visit; Total Newt Gingrichville.

        • https://twitter.com/#!/PD_Scott Scott A. Robinson, Editor

          I live in Charleston. Newt has the momentum. There is a definite ABR feeling here. I think Newt wins by a wider margin that most people expect.

          • Kingof….

            I voted too early.  Starting to look like Mitt’s loss is going to be larger than I thought. Looks like this could end up being a “HUGE” loss for Romney.  A good ole fashion Southern spanking taking place. 

  • Kingof…..

    Gingrich 34%, Romney 29%, Paul 19%, Santorum 14%, Perry 3%, Cain 1%.  When I win tell Jason I would like either “Days of Infamy” or “Never Call Retreat”.  Two great books that everyone should read.

    • https://twitter.com/#!/PD_Scott Scott A. Robinson

      Except it will come from Jason’s stash, so it would have to be something he has written….

      • TheLogicalLeft

        The more important question is, who is Scott voting for :D? As my new boss per say, I def. don’t want to go against him :).

        Also were do you live Scott and what’s your sense on the ground? I lived in Inman, around Spartanburg for a while, and I went back to visit; Total Newt Gingrichville.

        • https://twitter.com/#!/PD_Scott Scott A. Robinson

          I live in Charleston. Newt has the momentum. There is a definite ABR feeling here. I think Newt wins by a wider margin that most people expect.

          • Kingof….

            I voted too early.  Starting to look like Mitt’s loss is going to be larger than I thought. Looks like this could end up being a “HUGE” loss for Romney.  A good ole fashion Southern spanking taking place. 

  • Jacosta

    1: Romney 34%
    2: Gingrich 32%
    3: Paul 20%
    4: Santorum 13%
    5: Perry 1%

    • TheLogicalLeft

      ^We could play a game where we covered up the bloggers name and I could still smell this post being a Jacosta post a mile away :D

  • Jacosta

    1: Romney 34%
    2: Gingrich 32%
    3: Paul 20%
    4: Santorum 13%
    5: Perry 1%

    • TheLogicalLeft

      ^We could play a game where we covered up the bloggers name and I could still smell this post being a Jacosta post a mile away :D

  • https://twitter.com/#!/PD_Scott Scott A. Robinson, Editor

    1. Gingrich 38%
    2. Romney 34%
    3. Paul 16%
    4. Santorum 11%
    5. Perry 1%
    6. Cain 0%

  • https://twitter.com/#!/PD_Scott Scott A. Robinson

    1. Gingrich 38%
    2. Romney 34%
    3. Paul 16%
    4. Santorum 11%
    5. Perry 1%
    6. Cain 0%

  • Steve M.

    1. Romney – 35%
    2. Gingrich – 27%
    3. Paul – 20%
    4. Santorum – 12%
    5. Cain/Colbert – 4%
    Others – 2%

  • Steve M.

    1. Romney – 35%
    2. Gingrich – 27%
    3. Paul – 20%
    4. Santorum – 12%
    5. Cain/Colbert – 4%
    Others – 2%

  • shuoink

    1. Gingrich – 30%
    2. Romney – 29%
    3. Paul – 20%
    4. Santorum – 13%
    5. Herman Colbert – 5%
    6. Rick Perry – 2%
    7. Other – 1%

  • shuoink

    1. Gingrich – 30%
    2. Romney – 29%
    3. Paul – 20%
    4. Santorum – 13%
    5. Herman Colbert – 5%
    6. Rick Perry – 2%
    7. Other – 1%

  • Fitzwdarcey

    Gingrich 39%
    Romney 27%
    Paul 16%
    Santorum 10%
    Colbert 3%
    Perry 2%
    Cain 1%

    All results confirmed by the Magic 8 Ball.