The entire Herman Cain story is fascinating. He’s accused of sexual harassment by multiple women, but denies the allegations vigorously and pledges to fight on. Despite some slippage in the polls, he’s forged ahead and changed the subject pretty effectively since the scandal first broke.

But now he’s accused of a consensual 13-year affair, nothing illegal, and he’s considering an exit? He’s said, “We are reassessing as we speak. Reassessment means reevaluation.”

Cain’s collapse might be the single greatest gift Newt Gingrich has ever received.






Note: Click the graph to enlarge.

Newt Gingrich’s role as the latest, and likely last ABR (anyone but Romney) candidate has solidified in his numbers. Mitt Romney is in the same general range he has always been. Herman Cain? Goodbye. Rick Perry has actually fallen below Ron Paul. In a surprising development, Jon Huntsman is now 20 percent ahead of Rick Santorum! However, that amounts to only 0.4 percentage points.

What will be most interesting in the coming months will be to see where the supporters of the candidates in third through eighth move. The race may not be as close as it appears today between Gingrich and Romney, or Perry could potentially, though unlikely, have a resurgence, as some have suggested in previous comments.


Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney are beginning to go directly after each other, rather than focusing on President Obama. This is a shift in strategy for both of them, especially for Romney, signifying their perception that this is likely a two horse race, save some unexpected results in the early primaries. On another note, often when businesses are entrenched, they look to government to pass regulations that increase entry cost, thereby making it more difficult for new competition to enter the marketplace. Regulations laid upon street vendors versus brick and motor vendors is a good example of this. This is yet another example of government slowing down business growth and wealth creation. Finally, my favorite “slide” I use at the beginning of a presentation when I am launching a new project at my day job.

So far in the election, Rick Perry has done his Drowsy Smurf and Silent Smurf impersonations.

You can add Dopey Smurf to the collection now, as poor Rick managed to get the voting age and the date of the election wrong.

In the same sentence.

“Those who are going to be over 21 on November 12th, I ask for your support,” Perry said, eliciting a few chuckles from the crowd. “Those who won’t be, just work hard. Because you’re… counting on us.”

At this point, the next Smurf he’ll be is Out-of-the-race Smurf.

Because it looks like we are nearing the last stop of the Cain Train, I thought we should all take a look back at some of the most memorable moments of his campaign. If Herman Cain is finally swallowed up by all of these allegations, the derby to the nomination just got a lot less entertaining. The GOP will be better off without Cain but we will no longer get media segments like this one…

Rachel Maddow realizes Herman Cain is an art project

Cain’s campaign was one of the most oddly run operations in politics. While serious and disturbing allegations may be the reason Cain withdraws his candidacy from the race, the American people and the GOP should have done it a long time ago. This video doesn’t even include Cain’s actual policy blunders but just some of the more comical moments from the past few months. I will conclude by saying that this is most certainly the very first time that Rachel Maddow and I have agreed on anything at all.

Newt Gingrich claims to be “a lot more conservative than Mitt Romney”. Drill drill drill = jobs jobs jobs and also happens to make our energy less expensive. Fitch lowers the outlook on US credit to negative. These guys thought it would be a great idea to drag race in the Woodlands area of, north of Houston. Banks have made an estimated $13 billion from the FED’s below market rates, nothing like government policy picking winners and losers, as that always works out so well. The Washington Post is openly seeking dirt on Newt Gingrich (as if there isn’t enough already). Finally, guns save people, when the good guys are allowed to be armed, which are the only people that gun restrictions truly restrict.

From FOX 5 in Atlanta:

An Atlanta businesswoman is breaking her silence, claiming she has been involved in a 13-year-long affair with Republican presidential candidate Herman Cain….

“It was pretty simple,” White said. “It wasn’t complicated. I was aware that he was married. And I was also aware I was involved in a very inappropriate situation, relationship.”

Read the rest here.

Herman Cain should have released this video back when he was in first place in most polls. It is a great, simple explanation of 9-9-9. Well, other than when the narrator mentioned the “marginal cost of production”.

Call me crazy, but maybe Cain should have had his team focusing on explaining his hallmark 9-9-9 in a video like this rather than recording Mark Block smoking.






Frank








It’s been a while, but some photos deserve a “Caption of the Day” post. What would be your caption to this beauty?

Newt Gingrich is the candidate of the hour. Can Mitt Romney withstand this last big challenge? There likely is not anything left to be discovered in terms of baggage for Gingrich. He is a career politician and Americans seem comfortable with this. He is also a master debater who over the weekend challenged President Obama to debate with the use of his teleprompter.

Meanwhile, the Iranian Defense Minister says they will fire 150,000 missiles at Israel if attacked. This from the country whose leaders deny the Holocaust and have publicly called for the annihilation of the Jews. Think about this scenario: What if Israel had credible intelligence that an Iranian nuclear missile was pointed at them? So Israel faces total annihilation or it strikes nuclear sites preemptively to save itself. How would you advise the Prime Minister?

Why the “War on Poverty” is losing and will always be a losing battle.

Weekend open thread

By

Filed Under Open Thread on Nov 26 

Who will earn the endorsement of New Hampshire’s influencial The Union Leader tomorrow? Are there any Sunday show showdowns you’re interested in? Did you finally pick your favorite PD Editor actual favorite PD Editor and buy him a gift on Black Friday?

It began as a gaggle of unnoticed activists, grew to national status, and became a cesspool of licentiousness, crime, lewdness, and violent threats right before our eyes. Big Labor and the Communist Party USA support its murky agenda, as do domestic and international statists right up to President Obama. Welcome to Squatting Any Street. 

Amidst the slogans and chants emanating from impromptu communes across the country, the only clear message from Squatting is that banks suck and Squatters are entitled. Other than that, Squatting Any Street’s message has been incoherent. Yet no internal chant or external criticism can define Squatting with the clarity of a single photo taken at Squatting Los Angeles. Read more

Big Brother loves you. In fact he loves you so much, that his U.S. Department of Homeland Security is spending its valuable time and resources to secure the border your Thanksgiving Turkey. That is right. The official DHS  Twitter feed has issued a warning: “How dangerous can turkey fryers be?” However, once again the free market once again upstaged Big Brother, providing a superior option on turkey fryer safety staring William Shatner. So not only did Homeland Security waste its time and hence money on something completely outside of its scope, but it once again proved Big Brother cannot complete with the private market without making it illegal.

On another note, do you realize the impact of this silly buy local foods “movement”, promoted by Michelle Obama. We can also lump the buy “organic” foods “movement” into here as well. Essentially both of these encourage buying food produced in a less efficient manner, which is in the long run hurt nutrition. See Freakonomics for more.

Finally, I am thankful for those in politics who actually stand for what they believe in, not for what the latest poll or shift in the wind tells them to believe in. I wish there were more honest men and women out there in politics, but unfortunately there are so few.

Have a fantastic Thanksgiving. Don’t get hurt too badly playing football this morning. Be sure to eat too much. If you need something to do with all the people in your house, review my game suggestions here (some are available at Target, all will be at  your local specialty game store).

It has been a great, and now time-honored privilege to take the occasion of Thanksgiving to award our own PoliticalDerby Big Turkey Award.

In the past we have honored a person or persons with this distinction. This year, we searched, wrestled and then performed a detailed statistical analysis to find a worthy candidate. You won’t be disappointed, as we discovered a host of individuals who fit the bill.

Our 6th Annual Big Turkey Award goes to The Debt Reduction Super-Committee in their endeavor to gobble up the nation’s debt. Patty Murray, Max Baucus and John Kerry we salute you! Jon Kyl, Rob Portman and Pat Toomey we salute you!

turkey

For Congress to abdicate its responsibility and put its faith in a supercommittee of twelve (go here for a complete list of committee members) was a bird brained idea from the beginning. The fact that the committee failed is just gravy for the goose.

It should be noted that this is now the 2nd time (Gobble Gobble) that John Kerry has appeared as at least a partial recipient of the Big Turkey Award. Mr. Kerry, we offer you a special Big Turkey salute! You are the gift that keeps on giving.

We at PoliticalDerby hope you have a safe and wonderful Thanksgiving!

No deal. The appointed Super Committee of Congress couldn’t reach an agreement on a way to cut 1.2 trillion dollars which will now trigger massive automatic spending cuts to Medicare and to the military defense budget. This is a new low for American government. I would argue that it is possible that this country and its government have not been this divided in over fifty years.
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Note: Click to enlarge.

The significant trends continue and Newt Gingrich takes the lead.












Who won the debate? Was it Bachmann’s best to date? What do you make of Romney’s suggestion that Sen. Ayotte would make a good running mate? Have you brought out your Thanksgiving pants for tomorrow?

I’ll be posting analysis in five minute intervals of the CNN “National Security” Debate.

Read more

Is anyone willing to argue Cain is still in this race? Yet another poll shows Newt up and Cain tanking.

Gingrich attracts 26 percent of the support from Republicans and GOP-leaning independents in a Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday. A Quinnipiac poll taken earlier this month found Gingrich with just 10 percent of the vote. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney garners 22 percent, shedding a point since the last poll. Herman Cain falls to third place with 14 percent, dropping 16 points since early November, when he led the field. None of the remaining candidates receives more than 6 percent of the support. Nineteen percent of voters remain undecided.

Watch for an updated PDC shortly. And remember, the PDC isn’t just a straight average of polls. It takes into account age of the polls and the sampling.