This poll appeared in the comments of another post yesterday, but it clearly deserves its own forum. It suggests Ron Paul trails Obama by the fewest points in a hypothetical match-up.

According to the poll, taken before the announcement of Osama bin Laden’s death, President Barack Obama has an edge over all the top GOP candidates in hypothetical match-ups.

Who does best against Obama? Paul. The congressman from Texas, who also ran as a libertarian candidate for president in 1988 and who is well liked by many in the tea party movement, trails the president by only seven points (52 to 45 percent) in a hypothetical general election showdown. Huckabee trails by eight points, with Romney down 11 points to Obama.

The poll indicates the president leading Gingrich by 17 points, Palin by 19, and Trump by 22 points.

“It should be obvious to any political observer that hypothetical general election match-ups at this stage of the game have relatively little predictive value,” says Holland.

Paul supporters won’t like that last paragraph, but it’s true. Just ask President Giuliani, who at this point four years ago led party polls and ran the best against potential dem horses.

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