The University of Virginia’s Crystal Ball is making some noteworthy changes in the upcoming House races. While their overall prediction remains steady at a 47 seat pickup for the GOP, they have moved a number of races along the color line.

From Toss-up to Leans GOP: 10
From Leans Dem to Toss-up: 5
From Likely Dem to Leans Dem: 2
From Safe Dem to Likely Dem: 4

Read the details here.

Here we come…


Filed Under General on Sep 29 

The Militant Middle? Now that’s a group I can get behind!

I know you’ve been anxiously awaiting – some of you camping at your local bookstore – for the opportunity to buy my brand new book.


Camp no more! The book is available today in stores everywhere. Support Political Derby by purchasing a copy. After all, who do you think pays the hosting bills? 🙂

Click here for a quick and easy list of online retailers.
And happy reading!

The more I’ve thought about what I wrote on Friday, the more annoyed I’ve become at what I wrote. Not because I was wrong in pointing out that politicians constantly lie to be elected, but because the example I cited was Democrat versus Republican. Unfortunately, it works both ways. Harry Reid is merely an easy example.

Earlier today with my newfound time I was watching the morning news shows. As usually happens, the interviewer asked a valid question. First the person representing the “Republican” viewpoint repeated their talking points, regardless of if they related to the question. Then the same process was repeated with the person representing the “Democratic” viewpoint. It is no wonder nothing meaningful happens in this country when we can no longer have an honest discussion. Rather, people say whatever they want, rather than listening to what was asked, speaking in half truths and misrepresenting facts.

This is yet another reason, other than the obvious reason of being honest with yourself, that principles matter more than party. Doing what is right, following what you believe in, is more important than supporting a party, unless what you believe in is power for your group, then I suppose the party is for you. Otherwise, you should be ready, willing, and able to support a Christine O’Donnell if her views match yours, regardless of the predicted outcome in the general election.

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Once again we ask: In a word, can he win?

Knowing the mid-term elections are upon us and that many seats are likely to switch from Democrat-held to Republican-held (with Republicans who actually seem concerned about maintaining the Republic…weird), Democrat Party leadership will wait until later to raise taxes. Or if you believe Harry Reid:

Democrats believe we must permanently extend tax cuts for the middle class before they expire at the end of the year, and we will

Let’s be very clear about this, Democrats know tax increases are not what the people they supposedly “represent” want, so just in time for the elections the “we’re not going raise taxes on the middle class” rhetoric (note: remove your blindfold, Lady Justice) comes out, then after the election they’ll do what they want anyway, assuming they still have enough votes. Or as Dick Durban put it:

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You knew it was coming. Ouch! That will leave a mark.

Just for fun, your first comment MUST be one word: Can he win the presidency? All other comments must come separately.

Haley Barbour: GOP Kingmaker or Candidate?
By Mark Halperin Thursday, Sep. 23, 2010

Among the totems in Haley Barbour’s office in Jackson, Miss., is a cheeky sign that reads, “Power corrupts but absolute power is kinda cool.”

In this season of broad conservative ascent, Barbour is approaching absolute power. As chairman of the Republican Governors Association, he is masterminding the capture or retention of as many as 28 governorships for his party in November. His fundraising — expected to top $90 million by Election Day — has enabled him to pour millions of dollars into voter-turnout efforts that will help all kinds of Republicans further down the ballot and generate chits from grateful recipients. And his recent decision to drop $2 million into Florida’s up-for-grabs gubernatorial contest is a reminder of just how much clout one man can wield in a political realm widely regarded as atomized.

Read the rest.

Tomorrow morning Republicans will unveil their NEW Contract With America. The idea is a great one. And this great idea will follow in the foot steps of other great second editions like Teen Wolf Too, Legally Blonde 2 and Troll 2 (Be sure to check out the clip after the jump for great scenes from this movie including a focus on a future editor of

Don’t get me wrong. There are some great themes embedded into the GOP’s plan. Consider the following text:

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Stranger things have happened, but all signs point to the blowout Castle promised was coming.

CNN/Time poll: Coons up 16 over O’Donnell

(CNN) – A new poll suggests that Delaware Republicans might have blown their chance to win back a Senate seat long held the by the Democrats.

According to a CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll released Wednesday, 55 percent of likely voters in Delaware say that they are backing Democratic Senate nominee Chris Coons, with 39 percent saying they support GOP nominee Christine O’Donnell. Among the wider pool of registered voters, Coons’ leads O’Donnell by 25 points.

Last week O’Donnell upset longtime moderate Republican Rep. and former Gov. Mike Castle in the state’s primary. O’Donnell, a conservative commentator who launched unsuccessful Senate bids in 2006 and 2008, was supported and helped by Tea Party activists and by former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin.

But the survey indicates that if Castle had won the primary, he would be leading Coon’s 55 to 37 percent in the general election matchup.

Strangelove strategery


Filed Under Obama News on Sep 22 

I must first admit that I don’t pay much attention to the work of the Washington Post’s Bob Woodward. I didn’t read any of the books he wrote during W’s tenure and I likely won’t read his latest book which he has entitled “Obama’s Wars”. I understand Woodward to be fairly well sourced and am willing to believe his work is based (mostly) in fact.

The MSM is replete today with stories taken from copies leaked or otherwise released prior to Monday’s official launch. I must admit that when I came across this tidbit, I nearly choked on my morning Diet Coke. It appears, Dear Reader, that The One has already accepted the inevitability of another terrorist attack on United States soil. Saith The One:

We can absorb a terrorist attack. We’ll do everything we can to prevent it, but even a 9/11, even the biggest attack ever . . . we absorbed it and we are stronger

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The Richter scale measures the magnitude of subterranean movements. But any recent seismic activity is more attributable to our Founding Fathers rolling in their graves than to tectonic shifts. Free speech has been sacrificed and it’s doubtful the Founders would be pleased.

Molly Norris is a former cartoonist for the Seattle Weekly newspaper. I say “former” because Molly no longer exists, at least not in her original form. At the FBI’s encouragement she has become something of a non-person.
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You don’t think she might actually run in 2012? You Betcha!

New documentary coming October 15th.

Joe Biden just discovered he’s first in line for presidential succession:


No telling what year he’ll remember he can also cast tie-breaking votes in the Senate – or play checkers in the Oval Office when the President is on vacation.

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Filed Under Rate that Ad on Sep 19 

Something tells me there is much more of this to come.

TRENDING: O’Donnell in 1999: I dabbled in witchcraft
Posted: September 18th, 2010 03:05 PM ET
From CNN Ticker Producer Alexander Mooney

(CNN) – Newly-minted Delaware Senate candidate Christine O’Donnell – who already has had to contend with a string of controversial statements she has made in the past – once said she “dabbled into witchcraft.”

Read the rest.

Defenders of O’Donnell have accused the MSM, Rove, even some of us here at PD of being too harsh on her and not giving her a chance in November. The problem with the multi-race, multi-losing O’Donnell is that she’s a terrible candidate. It has nothing to do with her affiliation with the Tea Party or her criticism of the national GOP. I love upstart, brave, bold, brash candidates, even those who run against their own party. (I ran for the GOP nomination for Congress against an incumbent in 2000.)

I’m a conservative. I believe in conservative philosophy. I believe Reid/Pelosi/Obama are damaging to our country. But I’d take squishy Mike Castle in the US Senate over a lockstep liberal any day. And that, friends, is exactly who’s going to win in Delaware in November.

And to those of you who think it’s no big deal to sacrifice a Senate seat to purify and punish the GOP, it’s time to put your big boy pants on. You’ve given the dems this seat in Delaware for as long as Coons wants it.

Time for the GOP to pull out of this race and go back to their gut instinct. She can’t win.

Killer T party

“Follow…But! Follow only if ye be men of valour, for the entrance to this election is guarded by a creature so foul, so cruel that no moderate Republican yet has fought with it and lived. Bones of full fifty Democrats lie strewn about its lair.

So, brave incumbents, if you do doubt your courage or your strength, come no further…for death awaits you all with big, nasty, Palin teeth.” – Tim the Enchanted Pundit

“What, you mean – behind the Tea Party?”
“It IS the Tea Party!”
“You got us all worked up for nothing! Sir Reid has soiled his business suit.”
“But just look at the exit polls!”
“Send Sir MSM in to clean it up.” “Right, one tea bagger coming up.”

(One can never get enough Monty Python references in an election…)

[HT: charliekane at for the idea]

September 17, 1787


Filed Under Outside the Track on Sep 17 


Happy 223rd Birthday to the patriot’s dream that truly saw beyond the years.

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Filed Under Rate that Ad on Sep 16