Welcome to the latest edition of “If the election were held today”

Using a fun little site called 270towin.com along with the RealClearPolitics poll averages, I’m going to post an electoral map with the results as they could happen if votes were counted today.

Now obviously, this is all based on polling, which I’m sure to have several of you grumble about. But I think this could make for an interesting, occasional snapshot of which way the tide is flowing in the battleground states.

Using the RCP averages as of today to pick winners for the battleground states, here’s the results:

Electoral Math Map 8.27.08

After dominating ITEWHT since its inception, Barack Obama has nearly coughed up his once large lead over John McCain in the electoral college.

Signs of this have been popping up for weeks, mainly the form of tightening national polls, that the race was going to get closer. And closer it has gotten.

Gone from the Obama column are Ohio, Indiana and Nevada. Indiana was probably never really an Obama state, and now will unlikely go back to him with his selection of Joe Biden over Evan Bayh as his running mate.

Ohio is a different story.

As many a good little Republican knows, a GOP candidate has never won the Oval Office without winning Ohio. Ohio was the difference in 2004 for Dubbya, and will remain an extremely critical swing state in this election.

So in this edition, Obama edges McCain 273-265, but RCP averages have New Hampshire, New Mexico, and Colorado all incredibly tight races.

Buckle your seat belts kiddies. It’s going to be a very bumpy ride.

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