If the election were held today: July 1st, 2008
Posted on July 1st, 2008 at 11:35 am by David Kaiser, EditorWelcome to the second edition of “If the election were held today”.
Using a fun little site called 270towin.com along with the RealClearPolitics poll averages, I’m going to post an electoral map with the results as they could happen if votes were counted today.
Now obviously, this is all based on polling, which I’m sure to have several of you grumble about. But I think this could make for an interesting, occasional snapshot of which way the tide is flowing in the battleground states.
Using the RCP averages as of today to pick winners for the battleground states, here’s the results:
First, the only good news for McCain is that the latest RCP averages have him back on top in a very tightly contested race in Virginia.
After that, it gets ugly for the Straight Talk Express. Current poll averages have him now down in New Hampshire, Michigan, New Mexico and Indiana.
Compared to my first map, Obama now controls the Rust Belt and has made some gains in the Southwest, while losing some ground in the “Solid South”.
Based on current poll averages, if the election were held today, Barack Obama would roll into the Oval Office with a comfortable electoral victory of 304 to 234.
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Election? What Election?
We have murdered untold millions of Iraqis since the Gulf War via invasion, brutal economic sanctions, fomenting civil war and chaos, illegal occupation, and destruction of infrastructure. And neither of the performers in the theater of the absurd we call a “presidential election” has promised to bring an immediate end to this moral and legal abomination. If we enforced the Nuremberg Laws that WE crafted, all responsible would be hanged, including whoever replaces Bush and perpetuates this genocide.
KOOOOOOOOOOK!!!!!!!!!!!
Your pathetic act has grown extrememly tiresome.
Your repetative ignorance is no longer worthy of debate. You contribute nothing put ignorant internet talking points, rants, and conspiracies.
Do us favor Lazlo……take one for the team you MORON. I believe the Daily Koz or Huffington Post have plenty of space available for your nonsense.
“We have murdered untold millions of Iraqis since the Gulf War via invasion”
Nonsense, and a really disgusting and inaccurate depiction of the United States military and it’s role in Iraq.
“If we enforced the Nuremberg Laws that WE crafted, all responsible would be hanged, including whoever replaces Bush and perpetuates this genocide.”
First of all, we didn’t craft the Nuremberg Laws Mr. Chromsky, a bunch of racist nut cases did. Secondly, the United states is not perpetuating Genocide in Iraq, unless you mean the systematic killing of terrorists.
If you are looking for a genocide to take a stand against, you can look no further than the Genocide (by moral parasites, and to a large extent, racist nut cases) on unborn AMERICAN CHILDREN. Or if that topic is too related in your twisted mind to the “free love” Hippie nonsense, you then may turn your attention to the Genocide in Darfur where a REAL EVIL leader is killing innocent people.
Mr. Bush however, a good and honorable man, has never perpetuated Genocide and has actually taken a stand against both the genocide in America, and the Genocide in Darfur. So until you start caring about people rather than just manufacturing lies to attack America, I suggest you quit lecturing us and our President on your revisionist history and misguided morals.
Dont waste you breath AnDru. He is a LOON, too dumb to comprehend.
Decaf, Lazlo. Decaf.
We’re well past decaf. I’d encourage Prozac.
I would encourage a high bridge.
Now Brian, while I may loathe some of Laz’s comments, I most certainly don’t hate him. I wish him the best, and I hope he would never do such a thing. You’d feel bad if he really did kill himself because of you.
My bridge statement was sarcasm, but KOOK was not.
I WILL NO LONGER RESPOND TO ANYTHING LAZLO HAS TO SAY. I
I enjoy this site, the exchanges with Toby and other Obamacans. I enjoy the humorous take on the political world. I do not enjoy it when LOONS use this forum to rant their ingnorance.
Lazlo must the Ron Paul NUTTERS proud.
I wonder if this is what he learned in Ron Paul’s “Revolution”.
Looks like its coming down to Ohio, PA, and VA. There are your swing states that will decide it one way or the other.
I still think the VP picks will make a huge difference. For instance, does Tim Pawlenty bring MN to the red side because he’s the VP? Does the same go if Tom Ridge from PA is on the ticket? Same question applies to Bill Richardson & Evan Bayh for BHO.
It will be very interesting post-conventions to see the map with the known VP picks at that time.
We’re well past decaf. I’d encourage Prozac.
I think that Michigan’s 17 votes would go to McCain if he taps Romney as his veep.
You are probably correct their Gary, but Obama could pick Bayh and cement Indiana and perhaps Ohio, which makes Michigan expendible.
It wouldn’t affect the outcome of this map; but no matter what the current polls say, no way does Obama win Indiana. I’d put a grand on it. Unless of course he picks Evan Bayh. But unless that happens McCain will win by at least 6 points.