PD reader Bruce dropped us a message that included an interesting proposition – what if the primary in Puerto Rico, which is not a U.S. state, were to be the deciding factor in the race for the Democratic primary?

Puerto Rico, which is a U.S. territory, cannot vote for electors in the electoral college, which essentially means they cannot help elect a President in the general election.

Yet, they can play a role in the picking of a presidential nominee.

Now at this point, I think Puerto Rico will wind up meaningless, based on the delegate math out there. There are 217 delegates up for grabs in the remaining primaries and as of this afternoon, about 270 unpledged super delegates.

Barack Obama is 180 delegates away from clinching the nomination. Obama is likely to win Oregon, South Dakota and Montana and Clinton is expected to do well in West Virginia, Kentucky and the aforementioned Puerto Rico.

If we make the assumption that the delegates from these six contests will roughly get split, event giving Hillary say, a net gain of 10 to 15 delegates, it still leaves her 145 delegates behind Obama and him less than 80 from clinching.

Queue the super delegates, which I would logically think the majority would have to go to Obama’s side. Many of them are in the Pelosi group that have promised to side with the delegate leader at the end of the primary season.

And how can Hillary be that leader?

Well, while theoretically she can, just as theoretically I could be a professional football player. I haven’t put the pads on since freshman year of high school, it ain’t happening.

Put it this way, if Hillary wins all six of the remaining primaries (which she won’t), and win them by a 75 to 25 percent margin (which she won’t) she would still trail Obama by 40 or so delegates.

But if things were a lot closer, Bruce’s point remains. How do you feel about a U.S. possession that is not a state being a deciding factor in a presidential nomination race?

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