PD Poll update
Posted on December 28th, 2007 at 6:03 pm by David Kaiser, EditorI’ve updated the PD “Olympic” poll standings, I’ll run one more round of polling leading up to Iowa and New Hampshire next week.
As usual, the listing goes by their current ranking, with their previous standings and how many points they earned in the most recent poll.
For now, here’s how things stand:
Iowa
Democrats
1. Barack Obama (1,1,1) - 28 points
2. John Edwards (3,2,2) - 24 points
3. Hillary Clinton (2,3,3) - 19 points
4. Joe Biden (5,NR,4) - 1 point
Republicans
1. Mike Huckabee (1,1,1) - 38 points
2. Mitt Romney (2,2,2) - 29 points
3. Ron Paul (NR,5,5) - 7 points
4. Fred Thompson (4,4,3) - 5 points
5. Rudy Giuliani (3,3,4) - 4 points
6. John McCain (5,NR,6) - 2 points
New Hampshire
Democrats
1. Barack Obama (2,1,1) - 30 points
2. Hillary Clinton (1,2,2) - 25 points
3. John Edwards (3,3,3) - 9 points
4. Joe Biden (5,4,4) - 1 point
4. Bill Richardson (4,5,4) - 1 point
Republicans
1. Mitt Romney (1,1,1) - 30 points
2. John McCain (3,2,2) - 22 points
3. Ron Paul (5,5,4) - 17 points
4. Mike Huckabee (4,3,3) - 10 points
5. Rudy Giuliani (2,4,5) - 3 points
6. Fred Thompson (6,6,6) - 2 points
Please post your updated rankings, top three candidates from each party in both the Iowa and New Hampshire contests!
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Iowa
GOP
1. Huckabee
2. Romney
3. McCain
Dems
1. Edwards
2. Obama
3. Clinton
New Hampshire
GOP
1. McCain
2. Romney
3. Giuliani
Dems
1. Obama
2. Clinton
3. Edwards
Iowa Republican:
1.-Huckabee
2.-Romney
3.-Mccain
Iowa Democrats:
1.-Obama
2.-Hillary
3.-Johny(Comelately to my own events) Edwards
New Hampshire Republican:
1.-McCain
2.-Romney
3.-Rudy
New Hampshire Democrats:
1.-Obama
2.-Billary
3.-Edwards
Ok, so now Huckster says gets his geography wrong in placing Afghanistan on the wrong side of Pakistan….then he “apologizes” for the death of Bhutto (HUH?)….then believes that martial law is still in effect in Pakistan (when it was actually over TWO weeks ago!)….all of this after his “…but, I stayed in a Holiday Inn last night.” - in reference to his lack of foreign experience! Yes - this man is dangerous and needs to go back to high school!!!
Iowa - Dems
1) Clinton
2) Obama
3) Edwards
GOP
1) Romney
2) Huckleberry
3) McCain
New Hampshire - DEMS
1) Clinton
2) Obama
3) Edwards
GOP
1) Romney
2) McCain
3) Giuliani
BTW - Huckabee last year accepted $52,000 in speaking fees from a bio-tech giant that wants to research human embryonic stem cells, a non-profit working to expand access to the morning after pill and a group pushing to study whether tightening gun control laws will reduce violence.
This on top of the fact that he accepted a speaking engagement for $10,000 from a fellow “friend” and pastor in TX…THAT pastor is a known anti-Catholic who has several times said that the Catholic Church is responsible for the Holocaust and has compared the pope to Hitler! What does the Huckster say to all this…..uhm - nothing!
Iowa
GOP
1. Huckabee
2. Romney
3. McCain
4. Thompson
Dems
1. Obama
2. Edwards
3. Clinton
New Hampshire
GOP
1. McCain
2. Romney
3. Huckabee
4. Giuliani
Dems
1. Obama
2. Clinton
3. Edwards
Iowa
GOP
1. Romney
2. Huckabee
3. Thompson
Dems
1. Obama
2. Clinton
3. Edwards
New Hampshire
GOP
1. Romney
2. McCain
3. Huckabee
Dems
1. Obama
2. Clinton
3. Edwards
Huckabee and Clinton are both experiencing downward momentum in the last week prior to Iowa. Romney has the best GOTV organization in both states. Obama has positive momentum. It will be Romney vs. Obama in the general.
Iowa
Dems:
Edwards
Clinton
Obama
GOP:
Romney
Huckabee
Paul
NH
Dems:
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
GOP:
Paul
McCain
Romney
IOWA
Dems:
Clinton
Edwards
Obama
GOP:
Huckabee
Romney
McCain
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Dems:
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
GOP:
McCain
Romney
Huckabee
Iowa
GOP
1. Huckabee
2. Romney
3. Paul
Dems
1. Obama
2. Clinton
3. Biden
New Hampshire
GOP
1. McCain
2. Paul
3. Romney
Dems
1. Obama
2. Clinton
3. Edwards
Iowa
GOP
1. Huckabee
2. Romney
3. Thompson
Dems
1. Obama
2. Edwards
3. Clinton
New Hampshire
GOP
1. McCain
2. Romney
3. Giuliani
Dems
1. Obama
2. Clinton
3. Edwards
If the popular votes are close, Giuliani could win many states…he stacked the delegates a long time ago. Only the delegates’ votes count.
However, if the popular votes are NOT close, there are enough non-Rudy delegates to force all delegates to vote with the popular vote.
This was also Hlllary’s strategy, but she also pulled in a ton of favors and cornered the market on superdelegates. Right now she has twice the amount of superdelegate endorsements (read votes) as Obama…that is like a two state lead. Yes, the voting started long time ago…but superdelegates will likely only make up about 10% of the total delegate vote.
On the GOP side, Romney, McCain, Giuliani, and Thompson have comparable amount of superdelegate votes (20 to 35). However, Huckabee and Ron Paul have almost no superdelegate votes. That is why I say Huckabee is a distraction of controversy.
NH & IA
1. Paul
2. Thompson
3. McCain
Iowa -
Dems: Edwards, Clinton, Obama
GOPs: Romney, McCain, Huckabee
NH -
Dems: Clinton, Obama, Biden
GOPs: Romney, McCain, Guiliani
IA-
Obama, Edwards, Clint
Romney-Huck (tie) McCain
NH
Obama,Clinton, Edwards
Romney,McCain, Giuliani
SC
Obama, Clinton, Edwards
Huck, McCain, Romney