Ron Paul leads in the biggest state

By Contributor Archive

Filed Under Race for White House 2008 on Dec 13 

Everybody talks about the importance of Iowa and New Hampshire, with a further nod to South Carolina and Nevada, until Super Tuesday comes along and knocks the little states back into their places. While Huckabee and Obama are surging in early states and Rudy and Hillary are squirming amid fading national leads, Ron Paul has snuck under the radar and jumped to a lead in the biggest of the Super Tuesday states.

California, you ask? No, not the state with the largest population, the largest state: Alaska. In a recent poll, Paul took 29% in libertarian-friendly Alaska, while Huck grabbed 22% and Rudy snagged bronze with 14%. While Alaska certainly lacks voting power in national conventions, it does mark the first time that Paul has led in any state-wide poll. With over $11m already in the bank this quarter, and an all but guaranteed multi-million dollar donor outpouring on Dec 16th – the anniversary of the Boston Tea Party – Paul will have just a few short weeks to spend that money if he hopes to continue to increase his poll numbers and make an impressive showing in the (smaller) early states.

Comments

  • Russ

    Amazing! Look at all the Ron Paul supporters! This truly proves that all mainstream media polls are false, and there is really a groundswell of support that they banded together to try to hide. Because there is no way that this is the same person posting under different names again.

    Come on, we’re all thinking it.

  • Lazlo

    Yeah! Some more Ron Paul folk have showed up…please stay. Most people have no idea that they are supporting neo con liberals in Republican clothing.

  • Liz

    Let’s see if Paul can motivate all thems salmon and caribou to vote in the Alaska Caucus.

  • Oddball

    Every Giuliani, McCain, Romney or Huckabee supporter will tell you the main stream media is full of crap when it comes to most things like Iraq, Iran, or just about anything. But when it comes to their polls it’s the freakin word of God as long as it shows their favorite RINO doing well. Ron Paul has far more support than you guys think. You guys better start deciding on who you’re going to vote for in the general election. Ron Paul, or Obama/Hillary? Which is it? A REAL Republican or a Commie? This might be the first time since Ronald Regan that we have a choice that isn’t “The lesser of two evils”. Stop being blind little lemming Republicans, and realize you’re voting for a RINO if you’re not voting for Ron Paul.

  • Win

    Ron Paul can beat Hillary, Rudy can’t, and that’s all that matters. Democrats would like to see any candidate but Ron Paul.

  • lucas m.

    It amazes me how many people listen to the very biased mainstream media polls (MSM). It seems they will do anything to promote their candidates. The only reason most people know the names Guiliani, Romney, Huckabee or McCain is the MSM. Huckabee has no money and the other candidates have spent most of theirs or are in debt. If you look at pragmatic things instead of listening to the MSM’s propaganda – Ron Paul has recently raised more money than the other candidates (on course to raising perhaps 20 million dollars), his internet traffic is greater than the other Republicans, and the Democrats, he has won half the straw polls and come in 2nd in a good portion of the rest (you have to pay to be in one).His meet up groups have 70,000 voluteers 3times a many as all candidates Democrats included. And last but not least, hundreds and thousands come to hear him speak. (This is something the other Republicans cannot claim.) So those scientific telephone polls that anyone can bend the results are not credible. Who claims a candidate is top tier? It is the MSM – that’s who. Do you really know if Huckabee (who is a complete construct of MSM) or Guiliani are really leading or is the MSM just blowing numbers at us? They, MSM, didn’t even report that 150,000 people marched against the war in Washington in September nor did it cover the half million person protest at the last Republican convention. Also the MSM has as consultants the former heads of the German Stasi and Russian KGB propaganda departments.
    The MSM: most of these outlets are owned by companies that have millions and billions selling war products i.e. General Electric.
    The major media outlets have made a combined income of between 50 and 75 billion dollars covering the war. Now that’s big money in anyone’s book.
    So just like they sold us the war I am not going to let them sell me any more propaganda.

  • Russ

    Straw polls are in no way similar to actual voting unless all candidates try to win it. Since the candidates are ignoring straw polls ever since the one in Iowa, they mean exactly as much as internet polls, i.e., zilch. I like Paul, but he will not win a single state. He won’t place higher than fifth in any state, unless he pulls a real shocker with his campaign cash. Then he may finish fourth.

    Denial is indeed a strange thing.

  • Lazlo

    LOL…You’ve been wrong about the war in Iraq, Iranian nukes, neo cons Pubs, Ron Paul’s success so far…of course, you are right about Ron Paul now.

  • Robin

    Ron Paul is going nowhere.

    I think Rudy is going to be looking very good on February 6th.

  • AndDru1

    Congrats Paulians, I didn’t think he’d win a single state, but it’s looking like he’ll prove me wrong.

  • Toby

    i don’t think that the Superbowl network sells time to political commercials during the game

  • Lazlo

    “Ron Paul has snuck under the radar…”

    Not really. The stats showing Ron Paul dominated have been out there since May. Denial isn’t ugly, but it is a strange thing.

    According to straw polls (the best simulation of actual voting), Ron Paul has won the most states based on the states’ straw polls.
    1. Ron Paul (17 states)
    2. Mitt Romney (9)
    3. Fred Thompson (7)
    4. Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee (2)
    6. Duncan Hunter, John McCain (1)
    8. Alan Keyes, Tom Tancredo (0)

    “Paul will have just a few short weeks to spend that money”

    That’s definately a challenge. There is a lot of talk about doing something bold…superbowl commercials, blimps, hot air ballons, million man march on DC, etc.

    But I’m not sure that’s the best way to target the correct audience.

  • Stephen J

    TL …. Rudy will not win anything … ITs a thing called momentum, if rudy loses the first four states his race will be over … Also, Hillary is not going to be the nominee people are going to be less likely to vote for Rudy, because he has put all his eggs of protest in Hillarys basket.

  • Promise Kept

    Sorry Toby,…

    He opened no such door. When pressed by Wolf yesterday, he said that he hates to make any option an absolute no, but he holds to a 99.99% intention of doing nothing beyond the Republican primaries unless he wins them. If you believe a .01% chance is worth betting on, there are odds-makers in Vegas who’d love to take your money.

    Ron Pauls’ answer to such questions is simply a tactful retort. Has Dr. Paul ever said or done anything in his entire 10 terms in the Republican Party, that would lead you to believe that his word was not his bond?

    Short of an answer to that question, your attempted smear is against your own credibility, not his.

  • Toby

    Paul won’t still be in the race by Alaska. He’s reopened the door to a third party run for a reason. He used the Republican party for free face time in debates and credibility with fundraising. As soon as it becomes clear that he can’t win, he’ll jump ship and run third party.

  • TL

    Alaska only has 29 delegates.

    California has 159
    Illinois has 57
    New York has 87
    New Jersey has 39
    Florida has 75

    Rudy is leading by double digits in all of these states.

    Rudy will be the nominee on Feb 6th

  • RobA

    As a former Alaskan (during a brief period of my life) kudos to Paul! He’s got the $$ of a serious candidate and I’ve been waiting to see him make his move. How is he going to spend all that $$ in a short time?